Today's Line moves

Weekend Line Moves and Free Picks for April 21-23
By Doug Upstone of www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com

Another big weekend of sports and we have all the latest line moves and baseball series betting ready for you. There was one other major line movement, but it was cause by Rajon Rondo of Chicago fracturing his thumb. Take a minute to review all the betting trends and our free picks (80-46 of late), to see what we are thinking. See you back here next week.

NBA - (719) L.A. CLIPPERS at (720) UTAH  10:00 ET  ESPN2

The Clippers have been shifted from +1 to -1.5 point favorites at Utah. The reason for the switch is the Jazz's loss of center Rudy Gobert, as Los Angeles scored 60 of their 99 points in the paint in Game 2 victory. Maybe the Clips win because of this, but I'm still having a hard time knowing Utah will be jacked to be at home the L.A. is 1-10 ATS in Game 3 of playoff series.

Betting Trend - 71% backing Los Angeles
Doug's VPID Take - Utah covers

NHL – (11) TORONTO at (12) WASHINGTON  7:05 ET  NBCSN

Washington was sent out as -240 favorite in Game 5 with the series tied at 2-2. Hockey bettors who have been watching closely have seen Toronto just never gives up and plays until the final horn blows. This has helped lower the Capitals to -210, with enough pucks bettors willing to take a hungry dog in this spot. While I understand the sentiment, the Caps are 9-0 in home games after scoring five goals or more in their previous game this season. 

Betting Trend - 71% backing Washington
Doug's VPID Take - Washington wins

NBA – Saturday - (507) GOLDEN STATE at (508) PORTLAND  10:30 ET  ESPN

With Portland shooting 70-for-183, 38.2 percent in the first two contests against the underrated Golden State defense, the total has dipped two points to 217. I do not agree and see this game surpassing the total based on these facts. It starts with these squads are 6-2 OVER in Rip City, the Warriors are 11-2 OVER after they allowed a shooting percentage of 35% or less and the Blazers are 8-1 OVER after two straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots this season. 

Betting Trend - 75% backing Over
Doug's VPID Take - Play Over

MLB – WASHINGTON (+110) at N.Y. METS (-130) (Series Betting)

Important early season battle with division rivals. Jacob deGrom and Mets are favored in series opener, which could be deciding game, with Matt Harvey and New York likely the betting choice in Game 2 and Max Scherzer and Washington the odds on favorite on Sunday, which happens to be on ESPN Sunday night. I think the Nationals will win a tight one Friday night and take the series.

Betting Trend - 60% backing Washington
Doug's VPID Take - Washington wins

MLB – L.A. DODGERS (-140) at ARIZONA (+120) (Series Betting)

These teams split four in L.A. last weekend, but the Dodgers are favored to win at least twice in the desert. I'm choosing Arizona, because I definitely like Taijuan Walker over Alex Wood and see Kenta Maeda being very hittable to start the season and Arizona wins the first two contests to take the series.

Betting Trend - 50-50 Split
Doug's VPID Take - Arizona wins

MLB – BOSTON (-105) at BALTIMORE (-115)  (Series Betting)

Both teams best starting pitchers will not go in the series having pitched the last couple days, which leads to the middle and back of rotation hurlers and bullpens to pull this one out. Boston has a little better bullpen, but I will side with the Orioles for no other reason than they are home.

Betting Trend - 90% backing Baltimore
Doug's VPID Take - Baltimore wins

 

Public Consensus Record (2017) - 51% to 79% - 90-108-4 ATS
Public Consensus Record (2017) - 80% or Higher - 44-50-1 ATS
Line Movement Direction Record (2017) - 132-154-5 ATS

Doug is now a Playbook Expert, Order His Best Bets Here at The Cube or Playbook.com.