2016 NFL Win Totals And Strength Of Schedule
Marc Lawrence
Posted: 2016-08-10

By conventional measure, weighing an NFL team's strength of schedule is simple and straightforward.

The common approach is to collectively add-up each opponent's win-loss record from the previous season to help determine each opponent's potential win probability for the coming campaign.

Latest Method: NFL Strength Of Schedule

Another variable is to assess each opponent's season win totals for the upcoming season and tally the accumulative amount of wins.

It's my contention this represents a truer methodology. After all, which is more relevant: knowing how an opponent fared in last year's battles, or the expected degree of difficulty awaiting them this year?

Super Season Win Totals

Let's take a look at the opening 2016 NFL season win totals posted by Jay Kornegay of the Super Book in Las Vegas on May 1st.

Teams are ranked from top-to-bottom based on the most projected season win totals to the fewest.

Team Team Win Total Foe Win Total Division Non Division
San Francisco 49ers 6 137 56 81
New York Jets 8 135 51 84
Washington Redskins 7 134.5 48 86.5
Buffalo Bills 8 134 51 83
Cleveland Browns 4.5 134 57 77
Atlanta Falcons 7 133.5 48 85.5
Los Angeles Rams 7.5 132.5 53 79.5
Miami Dolphins 7 132.5 53 79.5
Philadelphia Eagles 7 132.5 48 84.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7 132.5 48 84.5
Houston Texans 8.5 132 44 88
Minneapolis Vikings 9 132 50 82
New England Patriots 10.5 132 46 86
New Orleans Saints 6.5 132 49 83
Denver Broncos 9.5 130.5 49 81.5
Jacksonville Jaguars 7.5 130 46 84
Kansas City Chiefs 9 130 50 80
Baltimore Ravens 8.5 129.5 49 80.5
Cincinnati Bengals 9.5 129.5 47 82.5
Detroit Lions 7 129.5 54.5 75
Indianapolis Colts 9 129.5 43 86.5
Tennessee Titans 5.5 129.5 50 79.5
Oakland Raiders 8.5 129 51 78
Seattle Seahawks 10.5 129 47 82
Arizona Cardinals 10 128.5 48 80.5
Chicago Bears 7.5 127.5 53 74.5
Pittsburgh Steelers 10.5 127.5 45 82.5
New York Giants 8 127 46 81
San Diego Chargers 7 127 54 73
Green Bay Packers 10.5 126 47 79
Dallas Cowboys 9 124 44 80
Carolina Panthers 10.5 123.5 41 82.5

As you can see by this method, San Francisco will take on the most difficult schedule, with Carolina facing the easiest.

It's safe to say that for a 49ers team that won a mere 5 games last season as opposed to a Panthers squad that won 17 games it appears the strength-of-schedule gods were diametrically opposite when it came down to balancing the scales this season!



For more insightful content from Marc-Lawrence click here