I'll start breaking down the NFL by division for the 2018 season. Today, I'm starting with the AFC West, one of the most competitive divisions in football.
The current odds to win the division are : Oakland Raiders +190, Los Angeles Chargers +225,
Kansas City Chiefs +240, Denver Broncos +380
I don't agree with these odds. I have the Chargers and Broncos, co-favorites.
Oakland Raiders : The Oakland Raiders have a new head coach in Jon Gruden. He has been out of football for a number of years, so in a way he brings a different perspective to the league than what we remember. He is older and lot richer, not that we can handicap either of those facts. Derek Carr did not have the year that was expected of him in 2017. I believe Gruden is too smart to allow him to be without better protection and wideouts. Gruden has been signing a number of veterans during the off season. No one can know for sure how effective that method of rebuilding will be, as only time will tell. However, be that as it may, I don't believe they should be favored to win the division. They had the 20th ranked defense in the league last year and I don't see a lot of improvement in that area for 2018. I'm predicting a 3rd place finish behind LA and Denver.
Los Angeles Chargers:
yards per attempt. They have also added quality and depth on defense and that will make them very tough this year. Good chance they will make the playoffs this year.
Kansas City Chiefs: The Chiefs are the defending AFC West Champions, but they are the third choice to win the division. Kansas City let Alex Smith and Marcus Peters get away, so they are hoping that Patrick Mahomes is ready for the lead role at quarterback this season and they hope to find someone to replace Peters in the secondary. Mahomes is facing a lot of pressure to perform at a high level this season and if he fails the Chiefs are in serious trouble. Kansas City does have some weapons surrounding Mahomes in Kareem Hunt, Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill and they added Sammy Watkins. Kansas City's defense was just 15th in the NFL last season, so the offense has to carry this team. I'm predicting a last place finish in the division and not making the playoffs.
Denver Broncos: The Broncos have a new starting quarterback this season, as Case Keenum comes over from the Vikings. Keenum is a huge upgrade from what Denver had at quarterback last season and he should give the Broncos a chance compete for this division and get to the playoffs. The Broncos defense slipped a little bit last season, but with a better offense will give them some rest, and with the addition of Bradley Chubb, Denver with a few added pieces should be very good defensively. The Broncos did let Aqib Talib go, but his best days are behind him. Denver will be counting heavily on Bradley Roby and Chris Harris to play well in the secondary this season. John Elway is the master at the control on this team and I feel he did a poor job after winning the Super Bowl a few years ago. He is making up for it with his off season moves. They will battle with LA for the division and have a good chance at the playoffs.
I personally don't bet futures unless I get monster prices. This division offers absolutely zero value in that regard. I see a real battle between the Chargers and Broncos. Should be fun barring any serious injuries.
For more insightful content from Jim-Feist click here