THREE times the ‘Totals' ACTION: Friday NBA 3-GAME Over / Under TRIPLE PLAY from King Creole:
 

Plays rated 2 thru 5 stars

3*** Play on: OVER the TOTAL

BROOKLYN NETS @ WASHINGTON WIZARDS

7:05pm ET / 4:05pm PT

#851-852

We’re certainly aware that BOTH teams in this game are off multiple UNDERS in a row. Brooklyn just went Under vs Phoenix last night and Under vs Detroit on Tuesday. Washington has gone UNDER against Atlanta, Boston, and Charlotte in their last three games. We’ll fade those recent games and come out firing in what should be an Eastern Conference SHOOTOUT on Friday night. This Nets / Wizards SERIES has gone 5-1 O/U in the last six meetings over the last two years… with an average margin of +7.5 points per game. First off, despite last night’s UNDER against the Suns… the Nets still scored a whopping 126 points. 9-1 O/U since Feb: All NBA teams with NO REST who just scored 125 > points the previous night (NETS)… In that game last night, the Nets blasted Phoenix by 28 points. Their largest winning margin of the season. 9-1 O/U last 2 years: All NBA road teams off a SU non-conference home win of 28 or more points (NETS)… At last look, the host Wizards were laying a lot of points (-11 to -12) in this Eastern Conference game. 10-2 O/U since Jan / 5-0 O/U since Feb: All EASTERN CONFERENCE home favorites of -10 < points (WASHINGTON) versus a fellow conference opponent (BROOKLYN)… The host Wizards have a big game TOMORROW against the Cleveland Cavaliers. (1) 11-1 O/U since Dec: All home favs of > 7 pts who have a road game the NEXT day (WIZARDS) when the OU line is > 207 points… (2) 10-2 O/U since Dec: All FRIDAY non-division home favorites (WIZARDS) who have a road game the next day… We also ran a query for NBA games in which both teams are off 2 or more UNDERS in their last few games. 13-2 O/U this season: All non-division CONFERENCE games in which BOTH teams are off BB ‘Unders’ (WIZARDS + NETS). The Wizards have saved their BEST ‘Over’ results for when they play SUB-.500 teams. So far this year, WASHINGTON has gone 26-10 O/U versus LOSING opponents… including 10-1 O/U since February!

3*** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL

New Orleans Hornets @ Houston Rockets

8:05pm ET / 5:05pm PT

#863-864

This will be our FIRST Houston UNDER that we have posted all season long. Normally, it’s been OVER or pass when it comes to Rocket games. But this is a series in which the UNDER has gone a perfect 3-0 in the last three played IN Houston (average of -12.3 points per game). Sharp OU players are also aware that the Pelicans have been one of the league’s Top UNDER teams on the road this season (Top 5: Golden State / Ok City / Miami / Atlanta / New Orleans). That includes 1-8 O/U in New Orleans’ last nine CONFERENCE road games. Since late December, Houston has actually gone 1-7 O/U as home favorites of -8 or LESS points. And let’s not forget that this is a DIVISION game as well. New Orleans has gone 1-7 O/U on the division ROAD this year… while Houston has gone 1-6 O/U at HOME in same-division play this season. At last look, Houston was favored by -8 points in this game, with a high OU line of 231 points. 3-15 O/U since 2009: All DIVISION home favorites of > 13 points (Rockets) with a high OU LINE of 224 or more points… In terms of the rest situation, Houston last game was way back on Monday. So they come in with THREE full days of rest. 0-10 O/U last 2 seasons: All WESTERN CONFERENCE home favorites playing with 3 days of REST (Rockets)… We are well aware that Houston just had a home SHOOTOUT against the Denver Nuggets last Monday. The OU line in that game was 237.5 points (2nd highest OU line of the season), and the final score was 125 to 124. 1-8-1 O/U since 1992: All NBA favorites of < 15 points off a SU home win and an OVER in a game in which the OU line was 235 or more points (Rockets)… This has been a GREAT Day of the Week for UNDERS this season, in SAME-division games. 11-29 O/U this season: All FRIDAY division games (Pelicans @ Rockets). These games have gone 4-17 O/U when the home team is favored (like the Rockets)… and a perfect 0-8 O/U since January. New Orleans is off 3 SU and ATS wins in their last three. 1-10 O/U so far in March: All Conference teams off 3+ SUATS wins in a row (Pelicans) when the OU line is > 196 points.

3*** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL

Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors

10:35pm ET / 7:35pm PT

#869-870

Our favorite UNDER team on the season in back in play on Friday. And that would be Golden State, who is hosting division rival Sacramento. Sharp OU players REALLY know that playing UNDERS in Warriors games has been like printing ‘FREE money’. The last time Golden State went OVER the Total in a game was way back on March 6th (against the Atlanta Hawks). Since then, they’ve gone a PERFECT 0-8 O/U in their last eight games, with an average OU margin of -12.8 points per game. Since late February, the Warriors have gone 1-13 O/U in their last 14 games!  And when it comes to the Kings, we almost AUTOMATICALLY go UNDER when they are facing fellow Pacific Division opponents. SACRAMENTO has played 11 DIVISION games so far in the 2016/2016 season. And they’ve gone an almost perfect 1-10 O/U in those division games (average margin of -8.6 points per game).  These two teams have played each other TWICE since the beginning of February, and BOTH of those games went UNDER the Total (-31 points and -9.5 points <and that one still went Under in OVERTIME!>). At last look, Golden State was laying a whopping -17 to -17.5 points in tonight’s game. Just from a ‘game flow’ perspective only, we can pretty much PEG what’s going too happen. The h-u-g-e favorite gets out to a big lead and then RESTS their starters in the 4th quarter. And besides, in the last 12 months, BIG favorites of -17 > points (Warriors) have gone 3-12 O/U when the OU line is < 226 points. And that includes a PERFECT 0-8 O/U since last December… In terms of rest, Golden State last played on Tuesday (2 days rest) and Sacramento last played on Wednesday (1 day of rest). 0-6-1 O/U since Feb. 1st: All NBA home favorites of > 5 points in a ‘2/1’ REST situation (Warriors) when the OU line is < 234 points… The Kings have pretty much GIVEN UP on this 2016/2017 season. They only have 2 wins in their last 13 games. And the last three losses (vs Milw / San Ant / Ok City) have been by margins of -18 pts, -16 pts, and -16 pts. 0-9 O/U since February: All NBA underdogs off back-to-back SU losses of 15 points EACH (Kings) when the OU line is 210 > points.

  2017-03-24 19:05:00

Nelly's Friday Sweet 16 Total Domination - March 24
 

03/24/17 Nelly's 8* #877/878 'UNDER' Butler vs. North Carolina 7:09 PM ET

Since allowing 93 points against Duke in the ACC tournament the Tar Heels have clamped down defensively in two NCAA Tournament games, allowing 64 and 65 points. North Carolina did not shoot well in a sloppy win vs. Arkansas last week but they have proven they can win slow-paced lower scoring games as late season wins over Virginia and Louisville attest. Butler is a very efficient offensive team but the game plan for the Bulldogs will certainly be to slow this game down. Butler is the third slowest pace team left in the tournament and this will be a much tougher defensive test than the Bulldogs faced in the first two tournament wins over Winthrop and Middle Tennessee State. On the biggest stages this season Butler held Villanova to 58 and 64 points in wins while also holding Arizona to just 65 points in a November victory as this team knows how to overcome elite talent on the opposition. Roy Williams has never been considered a defensive wizard but this year's Tar Heels team rates as his best defensive team since the 2012 squad that lost in the Elite Eight, even rating stronger than last season's national finalist team. The opportunities against Butler are from long range but North Carolina isn't a high frequency 3-point shooting team and after shooting poorly vs. Arkansas in the Round of 32 from outside expect North Carolina to get back to basics and scoring in the paint with matchup edges present vs. Butler. Huge stakes, an unfamiliar spacious venue, and an early start time with both teams having a long time to prepare for this matchup should mean a slower scoring pace. The Tar Heels are riding a 10-4-1 'UNDER' run while the last four Butler games have also all played 'UNDER' and this is poised to be the highest total of the season for the Bulldogs.

Nelly's rates our Playbook Picks 1-10 stars. It is a long season so please have a money management plan and be conservative and conscientious with your wagers. Thanks for playing with Nelly's Sportsline and best of luck. 

  2017-03-24 19:05:00

James Patrick Sports Sweet Sixteen (5*) Pot of Gold Game of the Year Tips-off Friday
  South Carolina vs. Baylor 7:25 pm est. TBS
Doubt that Baylor (27-7) is likely to be thinking of the USC Gamecocks upset over the Duke Blue Devils but they should be very concerned as the Gamecocks are hot. USC used the momentum from its win over Marquette and kept rolling against Duke, though it took a winning flourish in the final minutes. The Bears (27-7) are a textbook example of a team that seems to have peaked too early. The Bears are favorites here, but this team has been far from dominant the last two months of the year. Baylor finished the season just (5-6). And of their wins, six of their last eight in the regular season came by single digits. USC will throw their tall, shot-blocking zones at the Bears and this second-round contest presents plenty of appeal in these teams' similarities. Gamecocks HC Frank Martin’s squad has to be thrilled to not only be in the field but playing having played close to home as anyone with great seeding. South Carolina not only received a pretty favorable #7 seed they get to play in their home state just (100) miles away in Greenville. They also draw a Baylor team that will likely have trouble adjusting to the great contrast in pace that the Gamecocks will present as an elite defensive team. South Carolina has a reasonable shot to advance and capitalized on a big opportunity vs. Duke, another this is still another matchup where the Gamecocks could have some potential for an upset with a big edge on defense. South Carolina is led by SEC Player of the Year and leading scorer Sindarius Thornwell, hadn't won a tournament game since 1973. The Bears scoring won't come easy against the Gamecocks as they are one of the best defensive teams in the country. Baylor finds itself as the highest remaining seed in the East after top-seeded Villanova and No. 2 Duke were sent home. HC Frank Martin has coached in (11) NCAA Tournament games, all but (2) with Kansas State. His teams have won at least one game in each year it has been part of the tournament. South Carolina is better on defense, but they are a good offensive team and they play together on offense and that's why we're playing this week at Madison Square Garden.
(5*) Pot of Gold Play. #873. Take South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Baylor
  2017-03-24 19:25:00

Jim Feist's CBB Backboard Buster Game of the Month - Friday!
 
03/24 07:05 PM EST   CB   (877) BUTLER VS (878) NORTH CAROLINA.
Take: CBB Backboard Buster Game of the Month, (877) BUTLER.
Reason: Butler is well coached and 39-10-2 ATS in their last 51 neutral site games. Butler has not trailed in this year's NCAA Tournament. The Bulldogs are 20-4-2 ATS in their last 26 NCAA Tournament games. I like North Carolina coach Roy Williams as a recruited but not as a game manager. Butler owns a 3-2 SU advantage in the all-time series with North Carolina. Butler has won the previous two match-ups, both on neutral courts. Butler won, 74-66, in the 2014 Battle 4 Atlantis, and 82-71, in the 2012 Maui Invitational. Play Butler.     

  2017-03-24 19:00:00

Jim Feist's 2-Team CBB Power Parlay - Friday
 

3/24 07:25 PM EST   CB   (873) SOUTH CAROLINA VS (874) BAYLOR.
Take: (873) SOUTH CAROLINA.
Reason: South Carolina is playing tough defense for Frank Martin and the offense is clicking, off an 88-81 upset of second-seeded Duke on Sunday night. SEC Player of the Year Sindarius Thornwell was somewhat under the radar nationally until Sunday's upset of Duke when the 6-5 senior guard filled up the stat sheet with 24 points, six rebounds and a team-high five assists as the Gamecocks exploded for 65 second-half points. Thornwell leads the team in scoring (21.4), rebounding (7.3) and steals (2.2) while shooting 39.8 percent from 3-point range and is the leader of a tough and physical defense that forced 18 Duke turnovers. The Gamecocks are 37-18-1 ATS in their last 56 non-conference games. Baylor likes a slow pace and the Bears are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite. Play South Carolina.     

03/24 07:25 PM EST  CB   (873) SOUTH CAROLINA VS (874) BAYLOR.
Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.
Reason: South Carolina is playing tough defense for Frank Martin, 39-18-1 under the total as an underdog. The Under is 53-23-2 in the Gamecocks last 78 games following a straight up win. Baylor likes to slow the pace down, tops in the Big 12 in points allowed and field goal shooting defense. Play South Carolina/Baylor Under the total.     
  2017-03-24 19:15:00

Jim Feist's 3-Team NBA Super Tripleheader - Friday!
 
3/24 07:35 PM EST  NBA   (859) PHOENIX SUNS VS (860) BOSTON CELTICS.
Take: over the total.
Reason: Phoenix is a long way from home playing no defense, #29 in the NBA in points allowed (only Brooklyn is worse). The Over is 20-7 in the Suns last 27 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. Boston is young and likes to run, #8 in points scored. The Celtics are 11-4 over the total at home against a team with a losing road record. Play Phoenix/Boston Over the total.     

03/24 08:05 PM EST  NBA   (861) ATLANTA HAWKS VS (862) MILWAUKEE BUCKS.
Take: (861) ATLANTA HAWKS
Reason: Atlanta has had a rough stretch but they've been competitive, covering at San Antonio and off a close loss at Washington. Atlanta has a winning road record and the Hawks are 10-4 ATS vs. the NBA Central division. Milwaukee is home from a long road stretch and the Bucks are 3-13 ATS when facing the Southeast division. And the Hawks are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Milwaukee. Play Atlanta.     

03/24 08:05 PM  EST  NBA   (863) NEW ORLEANS PELICANS VS (864) HOUSTON ROCKETS.
Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.
Reason: New Orleans is strong on defense, #5 in field goal shooting defense and three-point shooting defense. New Orleans is on a 12-5 run under the total and the Under is 54-26-2 in the Pelicans last 82 road games. Houston is 9-4-1 under the total against a team with a losing straight up record. And the under is 24-10-1 in the last 35 meetings. Play New Orleans/Houston Under the total.     
  2017-03-24 19:25:00

Playbook.com Database NCAA Tourney Best Bet Play - Friday
  Play - Baylor (Game 874).
Edges - Bears: 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS against .700 or greater non-conference foes this season… Gamecocks: last four team in this tourney to defat Duke are 0-4 ATS the following game; and Sweet 16 dogs of 11 or less points off BB SUATS wins are 1-10 ATS.
  2017-03-24 19:25:00

Fargo's 10* Friday Sweet 16 Star Attraction (63.6% Big Dance YTD)
  There are three 1-4 matchups in the Sweet 16 and judging by this line, linesmakers feel this is the most lopsided one. Based on the RPI though, this is actually the closest of the three matchups with this being No. 5 vs. No. 14 and the other two being No. 4 vs. No. 16 and No. 3 vs. No. 19. North Carolina is favored this much because it is a heavily bet team no matter who or where it is playing so the adjustment had to be made. We played against Butler when it faced off against Middle Tennessee St. and the Bulldogs proved they are primed for a legitimate run. This was proved a while back when they defeated Villanova not once but twice during the regular season. Overall, Butler is 16-5 against the RPI top 100 while North Carolina is 17-6 and that difference is insignificant adding on that Butler faced a slightly tougher schedule than the Tar Heels. North Carolina is the best rebounding team in the nation which is a concern for all teams playing the Tar Heels but the Bulldogs have found ways to be able to compete with the top rebounding teams they have faced. Villanova is a much better rebounding team than Butler yet the Bulldogs won the battle of the boards in both meetings. While this certainly is not a great matchup for the Bulldogs, the same can be said for North Carolina as the Bulldogs defend hard and can take away some of that high-powered offense. The Bulldogs are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (877) Butler Bulldogs
  2017-03-24 19:05:00

Fargo's 10* NBA Friday Enforcer (+$36,834 NBA run)
  Charlotte has won three straight games to remain in the playoff hunt in the Eastern Conference as it is now 2.5 games behind Miami for the eighth spot. The Hornets will have to overtake three teams though so the chances are not good and it will be a difficult stretch. That starts tonight as the Hornets were favored in all three games during this recent winning streak and they have not done well when getting points as they are 2-19 as underdogs including going 0-4 as home underdogs. This has translated to the betting aspect as well as Charlotte is 1-8 ATS as an underdog of fewer than five points. Cleveland lost on Wednesday in Denver to fall to 4-6 in its last 10 games and is now just a game up on Boston in the Eastern Conference. Following the game against the Nuggets, LeBron James called the team soft and that was proven in the boxscore as the Cleveland defense was so ineffective that it forced six turnovers and allowed 35 assists. This is a huge game for the Cavaliers to end their roadtrip on a positive note and go into its game art home tomorrow against Washington with some momentum. 10* (855) Cleveland Cavaliers
  2017-03-24 19:05:00

Fargo's 10* Friday Sweet 16 Enforcer (+$16,450 CBB run)
  South Carolina is one of a few remaining teams many feel can be the Cinderella story but the magical run ends here. Wins over Marquette and Duke were impressive considering the Gamecocks put up 93 and 88 points but a lot of that was due to its strong defense that forced turnovers while also winning the rebounding battle. The issue is that South Carolina has a horrible offense as it finished the season ranked last in the SEC in shooting and when it matches up against a team that can negate its strengths, it will be in big trouble. Baylor is one of those teams. While South Carolina has the No. 4 adjusted defensive efficiency per KenPom, Baylor is at No. 13 so there is not a significant difference there. The Bears are one of the top rebounding teams in the nation as they are No. 4 in rebounding percentage and No. 2 in offensive rebounding percentage. They have outrebounded opponents by 8.0 rpg on the season while the Gamecocks are pretty much dead even and over the last five games, they are +12.8 rog while South Carolina is in the negative. Baylor is 9-4 against the RPI top 50 while South Carolina is just 3-5 which shows a pretty big stretch of schedule differential and that Baylor has been able to handle it well. Taking care of the ball is vital for Baylor and its 1.20 assist/turnover ratio show it can while on the other side, the Gamecocks 0.99 A/TO ratio is the worst of the remaining 16 teams. 10* (874) Baylor Bears
  2017-03-24 19:25:00

Richard (12-3-1 L 16 Playbook Pay Plays) Witt’s Top 5* NCAAB Over/Under For Friday Night!
 

#874   5*    South Carolina Gamecocks / Baylor Bears UNDER 135     7:29 PM ET

(NCAA TOURNAMENT – East Regional Semifinals – Madison Square Garden, New York, NY)

 

The East bracket has largely fallen apart, of course.  This will be Baylor’s first tourney encounter with a single-digit seed, this spring.   But given the Bears’ knack for making the relatively-easy appear difficult, expect Baylor to labor through this two hours – with no guarantee of the achievement of high-powered offensive success, when it’s all over.   South Carolina put on two offensive showcases during last week’s proceedings at the Greenville, SC tourney site, but now that we’re back at a neutral, look for Cocky to return to the broad defense-first postures which served them best over the course of this season.   So long as SCarolina stays away from chronic foul trouble, expect the Bears – who’ve been anything but consistently scintillating since playing themselves out of their brief stay at #1, earlier – to come up short in the graceful finish department, here, in what turns out to be anything but an offensive showcase.  Take #874, 5*, UNDER 135, as the defenses maintain the upper hand in the Garden.   Thanks, and continued good luck!

 

  2017-03-24 19:25:00

ROB VINCILETTI: 100% NBA 5* POWER SYSTEM + 68-4 Angle
  The NBA Super system side is on Detroit. Game 857 at 7:05 eastern. The winning team is 68-4 to the spread in Detroit games this season. That does not bode well for an Orlando team that is 0-15 off a division game and has failed to cover 24 of 35 on this court. The Pistons have home loss revenge motivation and are 4-0 ats on the road off a 10+ point road loss. Heading to the database we note. Rested road teams that are off a 21+ point spread loss as a road favorite like Detroit are 100% to the spread since 1995 if they allowed 110 or more in that loss and they are taking on a team off a home dog spread loss. Look for Detroit to get the win and cover.
  2017-03-24 19:10:00

Mark Franco's NBA Triple Play Package
 


#854

Pacers – 2

The Indiana Pacers will be playing at home on Friday, which means they'll probably look like a team that can do some damage in the playoffs. The Pacers will try to shake off another road loss and continue their high level at home when they host the Denver Nuggets on Friday.

Indiana dropped five of its last nine games, with all five of those losses coming on the road by an average of 13.2, but won the four home games by an average of 12.3 points.

The Nuggets are in their own postseason battle for the No. 8 spot in the Western Conference and snapped out of a two-game slide with a 126-113 home win over the Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday. Denver is attempting to hold off a charge by the ninth-place Portland Trail Blazers.

Nuggets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference and are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.

#857

Pistons – 2.5

A lineup change failed to yield any dramatic improvements for the stumbling Detroit Pistons, who will try to snap out of their funk when they continue a four-game road trip at the Orlando Magic on Friday. The Pistons dropped the first two games on the trip and five of six overall to sink 1 1/2 games out of a playoff spot in the Eastern Conference entering Thursday.

The Magic saw their first winning streak of 2017 come to an end at two games when they fell 109-102 to Charlotte at home Wednesday night. Orlando led by as many as six points in the fourth quarter before fading late and falling within one loss of matching last season's total of 47.

Orlando lost seven straight meetings before a 98-92 win at Detroit on Dec. 4.

Pistons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points and are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Magic are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Pistons are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

#865

76ers + 8

The Chicago Bulls can't afford to lose to teams below them in the standings as they try to close the gap between themselves and the eighth-place Miami Heat in the Eastern Conference. The Philadelphia 76ers, who are out of the race and visit the Bulls on Friday, won't make it easy.

The 76ers are trying to learn how to win with a young roster and were enjoying a 3-2 stretch - with both losses by three or fewer points - before getting knocked around in a 122-97 loss at Oklahoma City on Wednesday. Philadelphia, which beat Boston on Sunday, will get more chances to impact the East playoff race with two games each against the Bulls and the No. 7 Indiana Pacers as well as games against Atlanta, Cleveland, Toronto and Milwaukee down the stretch.

76ers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 Friday games and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Bulls are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.

 

  2017-03-24 19:00:00

Friday NCAA Tournament 10* Top Play
 

Butler vs. North Carolina 7:05 PM ET

Game# 877-878

Play On: Butler +7.0 (10*)

Here’s what I found interesting about the tendencies of both teams this season. North Carolina has a +14.8 point per game differential during their first 35 contests. Butler is a terrific 12-2 ATS this season when facing an opponent with a +8.0 point per game differential. Butler has a +8.0 point per game differential during their 2016-2017 campaign. North Carolina is a dismal 1-7 ATS this season in away or neutral site games versus teams with a +4.0 or better point per game differential.

This will be just the 6th time this season in which Butler is either a pick or underdog, and they were 4-1 SU&ATS during the first 5 occasion. Prior to the start of March Madness, Butler was a perfect 6-0 against teams (Northwestern, Vanderbilt, Arizona, Cincinnati, Vermont, Bucknell) against teams that made the 2017 NCAA Tournament. That trend has continued with their recent victories over Winthrop and Middle Tennessee State. Furthermore, they had quality non-conference win over Indiana and at Utah. Lastly, Butler went 2-0 this season against defending national champion Villanova.

North Carolina is a terrific offensive rebounding team that ranks #1 nationally in that category. Conversely, Butler is a very good defensive rebounding team that allows just 7 offensive boards per game. Bet on Butler plus the points for a 10* wager.

  2017-03-24 19:05:00

Joe D'Amico's 29-6 HIGH ROLLER 8 stars
 

 

Take Baylor.

This is my HR.

Game 874.

4:25 pm pst.

 

South Carolina has advanced the Sweet 16 for the for first time ever. This is a team that shoots a dismal, 41.09% from the floor, losing 6 of their L10 SU and is just 3-9 ATS their L12. Baylor is the real-deal, with a swarming defense that yields just 63.5 PPG, and possessing the superior rebounding squad on both ends of the floor. The frontcourt of Motley, Lual-Ucuil jr., and Masten will be too much in the paint for the "smallish" trio of Gamecocks starting Guards. The Bears do have a quintet of rotating Guards in Lecomte, Freeman, Wainwright, McClure, and Lindsey to match up with fresher legs. Take Baylor. Thank you.  

  2017-03-24 19:25:00

WGC Match Play - 3rd Round
  (3-24-17)

WGC Match Play - 3rd Round
Head to Head Match Ups for 25% of a unit a piece.

7206 Matthew Fitzpatrick (+120) over Justin Thomas
7221 Sergio Garcia (+100) over Jon Rahm
7242 Thomas Pieters (+105) over Bubba Watson
7247 Ross Fisher (+110) over Jim Furyk
7202 Russell Knox (-185) over Danny Willett
  2017-03-24 10:30:00

*9 IN A ROW* Rickenbach 10* NBA *3 FOR 1* ALL EARLY 3-PACK! 10 IN A ROW?
  Rickenbach NBA Friday 8* OVER the total in Charlotte Hornets vs Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:05 ET - The Cavaliers are looking to bounce back off of a loss but Cleveland's recent domination of Charlotte ensures that the Hornets certainly aren't going to back down here. As a result, expect a back and forth high-scoring game here as the Cavs have allowed each of their last 3 opponents to shoot 51% or better from the field. The Hornets have averaged 111 points per game in their last 5 home games and they'll be tough to stop here but don't look for the Charlotte defense to enjoy much success against the Cavaliers either. Cleveland has averaged 112.6 points per game in their last 5 games against the Hornets. The total on this game opened up in the 215.5 range and is now down to a 212.5 as of mid-morning on gameday. This is offering even more value to the over and the over is a hot 4-1 (80%) this season when Charlotte enters a game on a winning streak of 3 games or more. Also, the over is 9-4 (69%) this season when the Cavaliers are off of an upset loss as a favorite. After their disappointing defeat at Denver, the Cavs will fired up and employing plenty of "run and gun" in this one. 8* OVER the total in Charlotte


Rickenbach NBA Friday 8* Orlando Magic (+) vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:05 ET - The Magic had a bad fourth quarter and lost to the Hornets Wednesday. Now this line has gone from an opener of 2.5 on the Pistons all the way up to a -4 as of mid-morning on gameday. Detroit has lost (and failed to cover) 5 of its last 6 games. The Pistons shots just aren't falling and, as a result, they're feeling all the pressure here. Conversely, the Magic come into this game loose and relaxed and playing with nothing to lose as they certainly don't have to worry about any playoff pressure! That makes for an ultra dangerous home dog in a spot like this and I like the fact that the Magic had won 4 of their last 7 home games before falling apart late against Charlotte Wednesday. Look for Orlando to bounce back and take advantage of a Pistons team that's been held to 44.3% or less from the field in 6 straight games! Detroit is 3-6 SU (and ATS) when off of a game where they allowed 115 points or more. Also, on the season, the Pistons are an ugly 12-23 ATS in road games. I smell an upset here but I am happy to grab all the points I can get. 8* ORLANDO


Rickenbach NBA Friday 10* Top Play Denver Nuggets (+) @ Indiana Pacers @ 7:05 ET - Both teams dealing with playoff pressure right now as they work hard to secure a post-season berth. However, the Nuggets are dealing with the pressure much better than the Pacers and that's why you shouldn't be "fooled" by the interesting line that was posted on this game. Considering Denver is only 13-20 SU in road games this season and Indiana is 25-10 SU in home games this season, why would the Pacers have opened up at very close to the "pick'em range" in this game? Of course it is with good reason but many will feel the odds makers made a mistake here or simply "giving this one away" for the Pacers. It just doesn't work that way folks and I actually like to look for games like this for the sole intention of playing the other side. Here are the "real" keys for this one. Indiana is on a long-term 7-13 (35%) straight-up run their last 20 games. The Nuggets are 8-4 SU (and 9-3 ATS!) in their last 12 games. This is a classic case of two teams going in opposite directions but the betting markets, as usual, are likely to be slow to adjust. That is when you can find significant value which is what I believe we have here. The Pacers have been held under 44.7% from the field in 6 of their last 7 games. The hot-shooting Nuggets have knocked down over 48.7% from the field in 9 of their last 12 games! Denver is also on a 4-0 ATS run against the Pacers and a long-term 19-8 ATS run against Central Division opponents. Even though the Nuggets full season numbers are not impressive (in terms of defense), note that Indiana is 8-17 ATS (32%) in their games this season against teams that are allowing 106 points or more per game! The Pacers offense simply won't be able to keep up with the hot shooting Nuggets in this one. 10* DENVER
  2017-03-24 19:05:00

*7 IN A ROW* Rickenbach CBB *Insiders Edge* EARLY Friday! 100% L2 YEARS!
  Insiders Edge - Rickenbach CBB Friday 8* OVER the total in Baylor Bears vs South Carolina Gamecocks @ 7:25 ET - South Carolina has a strong reputation for its defense but they over is now 11-5 in the Gamecocks last 16 games and truly they have faded as the season has gone on. South Carolina has allowed an average of 73 points per game in their last 4 games and the Gamecocks have allowed 71 points or more in 9 of their last 12 games. On the other end of the floor South Carolina has been red hot in the Big Dance with 90.5 points per game scored so far in the tourney. I don't think Baylor is going to have a lot of success in shutting them down. The Bears have seen each of their last 4 games go over the total as they've allowed an average of 71 points per game. Baylor has been shooting red hot over their last 6 games (5 went over) and they've also knocked down over 40% of their three pointers in 3 of their last 4 games. The over is 5-2 in Baylor's last 7 games against SEC competition. As for South Carolina, the over is 10-5 in their last 15 games against teams with a winning record. Look for the over to improve to 5-0 in the Bears last 5 games as the high-scoring trending continues for both of these teams. The Gamecocks are riding high after the upset of Duke and have a ton of confidence right now but Baylor won't go away quietly and has plenty of big scoring options. The result should be a back and forth high-scoring affair played at a good pace. 8* OVER the total in Baylor
  2017-03-24 19:25:00

Ryan’s NBA SIM Algorithm Titan
 

7* graded play on Denver (853) as they take on Indiana in NBA action set to start at PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Denver will win this game. Given the favorable projections we like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 5.5* play on the line and a 1.5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 7* wager using the line.

 

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Denver is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when they allow 106 to 111 points in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Denver is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season.

Indiana is a money burning 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) when they allow 106 to 111 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. 

 

Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Denver.

 

  2017-03-24 19:05:00

Ryan’s Sweet 16 ‘UPSET ALERT’ SIM Algorithm Titan
 

7* graded play on South Carolina (873) as they take on Baylor in Sweet 16 action set to start at 7:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that South Carolina will win this game. Given the favorable projections we like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 5.5* play on the line and a 1.5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 7* wager using the line.

 

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Here is a system that has produced a 33-9 ATS record good for 79% winners since 2011. Play on neutral court teams as an underdog (S CAROLINA) after beating the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games. 

SC is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. 

9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons. 

 

Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board, South Carolina.

 

  2017-03-24 19:25:00

Marc Lawrence Double Perfect Never Lost Sweet 16 Killer Play! - Friday
  Play - Kentucky (Game 876).
Edges - Wildcats: head coach John Calipari 10-2 SUATS in Sweet 16 games in his career, including 5-0 SUATS with Kentucky. Bruins: head coach Steve Alford 0-3 SU career in Sweet 16 games; and UCLA 2-9 ATS last 11 Sweet 16 games, including SUATS the last eight games following a SUATS wins. With the Wildcats having won their last 13 games in a row and out to avenge a 97-92 home loss to UCLA earlier this season as 10.5-point favorites, we recommend a 4* playing Kentucky.  Thank you and good luck as always.

> Look: Marc's all-knowing database shares a Sweet 16 NCAA Monster Play backed with a 20-1 ATS winning angle from his powerful database on Friday's card tonight. Put this monster play on your ticket now - you'll be glad you did! 
  2017-03-24 21:45:00

Marc Lawrence Incredible 20-1 ATS Sweet 16 NCAA Monster Play! - Friday
  Play - Wisconsin (Game 871).
Edges - Badgers: 9-1-1 ATS as a dog following consecutive wins in this tourney; and 4-1-1 ATS versus SEC foes in this tourney; and 2-0 ATS as a dog in this tourney under head coach Greg Gard… Florida: teams in this tourney that held their previous opponent to 39 or fewer points are 0-6 ATS the following game when playing off consecutive wins; and No. 4 seeds in this tourney are 5-14 ATS in this round when facing foes off BB SUATS wins, including 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS following an ATS win of 7 or more points. …. With Big Ten teams 14-6-1 ATS as underdogs against SEC foes in this tourney - including 3-0 SUATS the last three tourney - we recommend a strong 3* play on Wisconsin.  Thank you and good luck as always.
  2017-03-24 21:55:00

Brad Diamond Sports 4* CBB NCAA Trap Game System 80% Run In March Madness
  4* Wisconsin (871) over Florida @ 9:55 Eastern
Always difficult going athletic unit of SEC unit Florida but, we've admired the stamina and gutty performances of the Badgers this season. Believe we'll see Wisconsin drawing fouls and many opportunities at the foul line as over aggressive Gators hurt themselves inside the matchups. Technically, like Wisky's 7-1-1 ATS run as an NCAA underdog and monster recent run of 12-3-1 ATS in this price range overall. Remember too, Gators just 2-6 ATS after allowing less than 50 points in their last game. Good Luck.
  2017-03-24 21:50:00

Nelly's Friday NBA Total Delivery - March 24
 

03/24/17 Nelly's 8* #861/862 'UNDER' Atlanta Hawks at Milwaukee Bucks 8:05 PM ET

This will be the lowest total of the season between the Bucks and Hawks with Atlanta winning the first three meetings this season. The Hawks have dropped five games in a row while failing to top 100 points in any of those games however and this will be a third road game in a row. Khris Middleton's return has sparked vastly improved defensive numbers for Milwaukee but this could be a flat spot on the schedule for Milwaukee finally back at home after a six-game west coast trip. In Milwaukee's current 10-2 run they have held their opponents to below 100 points in eight of the past 10 wins. The 'under' is 12-3 the last 15 games for Milwaukee and on the current slide for the Hawks they have shot below 30 percent from 3-point range. The Bucks remain a shaky outside shooting team and this game should feature playoff caliber intensity with these teams just a game apart in the standings. In road games this season the 'under' is 21-12 for the Hawks and games with a total north of 200 for the Hawks have gone 38-22 to the 'under'.

Nelly's rates our Playbook Picks 1-10 stars. It is a long season so please have a money management plan and be conservative and conscientious with your wagers. Thanks for playing with Nelly's Sportsline and best of luck. 

  2017-03-24 20:05:00

Nelly's Friday Late Night Sweet 16 Delivery - March 24
 

03/24/17 Nelly's 8* #876 Kentucky + over UCLA 9:35 PM ET

In early December UCLA delivered a statement win in Lexington with a 97-92 win over Kentucky in a battle of undefeated teams. The Wildcats got off 80 shots in the game but made just 41 percent while not capitalizing enough on a big edge on the offensive glass. The Wildcats turned over UCLA 18 times but the Bruins shot 53 percent and did better at the line as well to hold on for a narrow victory. The Bruins went on to stumble a few times in Pac-12 play to finish 3rd in the conference while also splitting in two Pac-12 Tournament games. UCLA allowed 80 points in its win vs. Kent State and while the Bruins were slowed down against Cincinnati they shot 50 percent and had only three turnovers to pull out the victory for a Sweet 16 run after not even making the tournament last season. UCLA is unquestionably the worst defensive team left in the Sweet 16 and they will go up against a Kentucky defense that posted some of the nation's best numbers in dominating the SEC. Kentucky struggled in its tournament debut with a surprisingly close result vs. Northern Kentucky and they survived the Round of 32 in a tight battle vs. grossly under-seeded Wichita State. Kentucky had some slow starts in late season games overcoming several deficits to now have won11 games in a row. Per usual this is a young team led by freshmen but there should be opportunities in this matchup. UCLA allowed over 36 percent shooting from 3-point range while Kentucky is allowing barely 30 percent beyond the arc and that is likely to impact the Bruins significantly with a huge percentage of points coming from long range. UCLA's defense rarely creates turnovers and rebounding should be an advantage for Kentucky again in this matchup. UCLA is a good free throw shooting team but they do not get to the line frequently and one doesn't have to look far to find NCAA Tournament failures for coach Steve Alford who has never won a Sweet 16 game and also has to be entertaining conversations about the Indiana vacancy this week as well. Memphis is a reasonable drive from Lexington and the FedEx Forum figures to be well represented with Wildcats fans and the popularity and high scoring style of UCLA has flipped the Bruins to a false favorite in this game. The Bruins are talented enough to catch fire and win this game but defense typically dominates this late in the tournament and especially with ample time to prepare the Wildcats should be in a stronger position to advance.

Nelly's rates our Playbook Picks 1-10 stars. It is a long season so please have a money management plan and be conservative and conscientious with your wagers. Thanks for playing with Nelly's Sportsline and best of luck. 

  2017-03-24 21:35:00

James Patrick has Basketball Fever with Friday NBA (5*) Pot of Gold Action
  Hawks vs. Bucks 8:05 pm est.
As far as under the radar teams go, the Bucks suffered plenty of injuries and limped to a league-worst (15-67) record last season. However, Milwaukee had nowhere to go but up this season. There is an optimistic outlook with new ownership and new coach Jason Kidd that hadn't been felt for years. After breaking the (60)-win barrier and reaching the Eastern Conference finals to set franchise watermarks, the Hawks tapered to (48) wins last season. Remember that the Hawks have been steady winners since 2009, but still haven't taken the league by storm. Atlanta has a winning road record and the Hawks are (10-4) ATS vs. the NBA Central division. The schedule also plays in favor of Atlanta here as Milwaukee is home from a long road stretch and the Bucks are (3-13) ATS when facing the Southeast division.
(5*) Pot of Gold Play. #861. Take Atlanta Hawks vs. Bucks
  2017-03-24 20:05:00

Opening Tip with Friday Evening NCAA Sweet Sixteen Hoop Doubleheader from James Patrick Sports
  UCLA vs. Kentucky 9:35 pm est. CBS
The Kentucky Wildcats (31-5), who have an impressive (13) game winning streak entering Friday night's Sweet Sixteen game against No.3 seed UCLA. Friday' game also has the potential to be one of the most electrifying of the tournament. UCLA is the No. 1 scoring team in the nation at (90.2) points per game. Kentucky is No. 9 at (85.2). They are the two highest scoring teams left in the NCAA field. In a loss earlier this season the UK Wildcats were impatient, look for the “Blue Cats” to make the UCLA Bruins work on the defensive end this time and get them out of sync. Bruins HC Steve Alford returns four starters and eight of its top (10) scorers from 2015-16 while bringing aboard three talented freshmen. But, in “Big Blue Nation”, Kentucky Basketball Never Stops, and again the Wildcats boast some young candidates ready to exit for the next level..
(5*) Pot of Gold Play. #876. Take Kentucky Wildcats vs. UCLA

Wisconsin vs. Florida 9:55 pm est. TBS
The Wisconsin Badgers have won more NCAA Tournament games over the past three years (12) than any other program and are the only team to reach the Sweet 16 in each of those seasons. This is the lowest they have been seeded since 2009, when they were a No. 12 and upset Florida. They lost to the Michigan Wolverines in the Big Ten Championship Game and to make matters worse they had to leave town in the middle of a snowstorm in the Midwest only to head into a snowstorm in Buffalo with a short turnaround for a late Thursday night game. Once HC Greg Gard got his footing, he was able to turn this team around last season as they won (11) of their final (13) Big Ten regular season games. Once they hit the Big Dance, Wisconsin advanced to the Sweet 16 which was their fifth time in the last six seasons, the only team in college basketball that can say that. The Badgers return every key player (99.7%) of their scoring from last year's team. However, the Gators were the fourth seed in the East region and Florida features a balanced offense which finished fourth in the SEC in scoring (78.9) points per game and a defense ranked (14th) nationally against the 3-point shot (30.7) percent. The upset of Villanova elevated the Badgers into the trendy pick to also knock off the Gators. The Gators of HC Mike White are (22-8) ATS in their last (30) games as a favorite. Like the SEC representative in this game.
(3*) Play. #872. Take Florida Gators vs. Wisconsin


  2017-03-24 21:35:00

Bryan Leonard's Big Dance High Roller
 

876 UCLA&Kentucky

Revenge game for the Wildcats who lost to UCLA 97-92 earlier at home. We really like the improvement in this Wildcat defense which has held 12 straight opponents to 77 points or less. In fact, just two of those opponents surpassed 70. This is a very young team as you would expect for Calipare, and the team has continually gotten better on the season. This is just the second same season revenge game for Kentucky, in the other it beat Tennessee by 25 points.

UCLA is an outstanding shooting team but rarely plays the type of athletes Kentucky produces. Coming off the likes of Kent State and Cincinnati, this is a major step up game for the Bruins. Wrong team favored here.

PLAY KENTUCKY

  2017-03-24 21:40:00

Jim Feist's CBB Late Bailout Blowout - Friday!
 
03/24 09:35 PM EST   CB   (875) UCLA VS (876) KENTUCKY.
Take: (876) KENTUCKY.
Reason: Kentucky was an 11-point favorite when these teams met earlier in the season and lost. Coach Calipari was not happy with the effort then and now they are more focused and won't be caught napping. This is a long road triip for UCLA, to Memphis, Tennessee. UCLA is 4-11 ATS vs. a team with a winning straight up record, plus 3-10 ATS against the SEC. Kentucky has reached the Sweet 16 six times in eight seasons under coach John Calipari and the Wildcats are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 neutral site games. Play Kentucky.     

  2017-03-24 21:15:00

Cajun Sports Wire CBB 8* Black Label Wiseguy Insider
 

CBB:  8* (#872) Florida Gators -1 vs. Wisconsin Badgers    9:55PM

The Florida Gators are back in the Sweet 16 after a three-year absence with this being their eleventh time in the programs history. The Gators have played well in the region semifinals winning eight of ten in this situation. They have actually won seven straight Sweet 16 games with the two losses coming back in 87 in the Meadowlands against Syracuse and in 99 versus Gonzaga losing on a tip by Casey Calvary in the desert in Arizona. The Gators easily advanced despite the struggles from the field for their leading scorer, KeVaughn Allen, who was horrible shooting just 3-of-21 from the field in Orlando. However, the sophomore guard was on fire when the Gators faced the Blue Devils at MSG back in early December. Allen dropped 21 points on the Blue Devils, draining 8-of-12 shots from the field, including 3-of-5 from behind the arc. White played freshman center Gorjok Gak in both games. With starting center John Egbunu out for the season with a torn ACL, Gak providing quality minutes on the interior is a big deal for this Gators team. The Gators defense is extremely underrated. It starts with the on-ball pressure on the perimeter by Hill and Chiozza. Leon and Robinson are versatile and athletic, capable of defending on the perimeter and on the post. Kevarrius Hayes, the sophomore who became the starting center when Egbunu was injured, has 16 blocked shots in the last nine games and had six steals vs. ETSU. The Gators are ranked 10th in the nation at defending the 3-point line (30.4%). The Badgers are playing with a chip on their shoulder after inexplicably being slotted as an eight seed in the Tournament by the Selection Committee. That same committee made Minnesota a five seed even though this Badgers team defeated them with east twice during the season including a 66 to 49 blowout. The Number 1 overall seed in the tournament paid a heavy price when they faced this Badgers team as they were knocked out of the tournament by a group of motivated Badgers. The problem now is the Badgers have expended not only a ton of physical energy to get that win over Nova but the emotional toll can be a tournament Achilles heel for this Badgers team. In these types of situations especially in the NCAA Tournament teams struggle to get back up from such a big victory. Also our Momentum Indicator has Florida trending solidly in positive territory with their momentum average at 8.21 out of a possible perfect score of 10.0. Not really any good news for the Badgers here as their momentum average has them trending in negative territory with a momentum average of 4.87 out of a perfect score of 10.0. With Wisconsin coming off a SU win on the road in their last game they are only 33-53-2 ATS in their next contest. If the Badgers won SU and ATS on the road in their last game they are only 26-51-2 ATS. In the same situation and now they face a non-conference opponent on the road the Badgers are 1-10-1 ATS. For Florida the results are much different the Gators have not only done well SU they have done extremely well in this situation. Florida coming off a SU win as a favorite and now facing a non-conference foe have posted a record of 40-22-3 ATS including 31-17-2 ATS if they are now favored. If the Gators won SU and ATS as a favorite in their last game and they are now facing a non-conference foe on the road they are 29-13-2 ATS including a perfect 8-0 ATS in the current price range. The betting public is backing the Badgers in this contest with almost seventy percent of the squares taking the point with Wisconsin.  Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 8.75 points. The BMM projects a point differential of 9.02 points with a line range of 0.0 to -2.5. The BSIM Matrix has the Florida Gators with a 73.86 percent advantage against the spread in tonight’s contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has the Gators with an offensive-defensive differential of +8.47 with a transitional average of 42.9. With significant support across the board for the Gators we will lay the short number here as Florida derails the Badgers on Friday night in the Big Apple.   Lay the chalk 
  2017-03-24 21:55:00

Doug Upstone's Sweet 16 SWEET 8* GUARANTEED WINNER
 

#875 UCLA -1

UCLA Breakdown: The Bruins offense could hardly be any more effective than what it has been in the last two games, shooting over 50 percent on each occasion and committing a grand total of NINE turnovers in 80 minutes of basketball. The other notable aspect has been the improved defense, which is still not elite, but does enough to bother the opposing team and more importantly to those studying the college basketball odds, UCLA (31-4, 17-18 ATS) is putting in the effort, which is something we did not always see from them. For the Bruins to advance to Elite 8, they have to continue to protect the ball, have a statistical edge in rebounds and of course play defense to their abilities.

Kentucky Breakdown: Kentucky (31-5, 16-18-1 ATS) has two potential positive coming into what is worthy of a Final 4 tilt. The Wildcats have the revenge angle and is finally playing a team that loves to run like they do. Since SEC play began, every opposing team has gone to great measures to limit Kentucky from playing at full throttle and running up and down the court. Coach John Calipari's 'Cats will be able to finally go all out, but faces a team who are actually even better at playing all 94 feet than they are. For the Wildcats to win as one-point underdogs, they will need a fourth scorer besides Malik Monk, De'Aaron Fox and Edrice Adebayo. It could be Isaiah Briscoe or Derek Willis,  but one of these two will have to chip in 15 or more points for the Wildcats to win.

What to Watch For: As stated, too bad this is in the Sweet 16, as this encounter is worthy of being played later in the tournament. Nonetheless, this is where it falls and for college basketball picks I prefer UCLA who has shown more overall maturity and offensive diversification and say they win by five points or less.

  2017-03-24 21:35:00

Sweet Sixteen Winner: UCLA/Kentucky from Mark Franco
  UCLA - 1 
  2017-03-24 21:40:00

Friday NCAA Tournament 3-Game Power Package
 

South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Baylor Bears 7:29 PM ET

Game# 871-872

Play On: Baylor -3.0 (5*)

South Carolina won’t have the luxury of playing 103 miles from their campus, in addition to a 90-minute ride like they enjoyed in Greenville, South Carolina during their first 2 NCAA Tourney wins. For all intents in purposes those were unofficially South Carolina home games.

Baylor played a difficult non-conference schedule prior to beginning their Big 12 slate, and went 7-0 straight up and 6-0 ATS in games against teams that ultimately were chosen or qualified for the 2017 NCAA Tournament. They added to that impressive resume by winning their first 2 March Madness games over New Mexico State Aggies and USC Trojans. They covered against the Aggies as an 11.0-point favorite. However, they failed to cover as 5.5-point chalk against USC by way of a meaningless Trojans tip in at the buzzer which resulted in the final 4-point margin. They held a combined 73-50 rebounding advantage in those first 2 NCAA Tourney contests. Additionally, during their previous 5 games, Baylor has averaged a substantially high 13 offensive rebounds per contest, and shot a sizzling hot 49.3%. Play on Baylor minus the points for a 5* wager.

 

UCLA vs. Kentucky 9:35 PM ET

Game# 875-876

Play On: UCLA -1.0 (5*)

As per usual since John Calipari has arrived, Kentucky is a very young team with freshmen that are future NBA players. On the other hand, UCLA returned 5 starts back from a season ago, and then added super talented freshmen Lonzo Ball.

Despite not playing the same conference, these teams have played one another in each of the last 2 seasons. UCLA won both of those contests, and that includes a 5-point win at Kentucky which really wasn’t as close as the final score indicates. UCLA shot a sizzling hot 52.9% in those contests, and converted on an excellent 44.5% of its 3-point attempts.

UCLA was flawless in their first 2 NCAA Tournament games regarding protecting the basketball. The Bruins committed only a combined 9 turnovers in those pair of wins. Bet on UCLA for a 5* wager.

 

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Florida Gators 9:59 PM ET

Game# 871-872

Play On: Florida –1.5 (5*)

Florida is a terrific 19-8 ATS (70.4%) as a favorite this season. If you take away a trio of head scratching straight up favorite losses to Vanderbilt, Florida was 19-5 ATS as a favorite versus all other teams besides the Commodores. Conversely, prior to their stunning upset win against top seeded Villanova on Saturday, Wisconsin was 0-3 ATS as an underdog during this 2016-2017 college basketball campaign.

These teams are pretty much a mirror image of one another. Each is stingy defensively, neither plays at what’s considered to be a quick offensive tempo, and both are good but not great shooting teams. The deciding difference for me comes via my personal eye test. In my professional opinion, Florida has an edge in terms of overall athleticism. Bet on Florida for a 5* wager.

  2017-03-24 19:30:00

Friday NBA 5* Power Pick of the Night
 

Atlanta @ Milwaukee 8:05 PM ET

Game# 861-862

Play On: Milwaukee -6.0 (5*)

Atlanta has gone 3-0 SU&ATS against Milwaukee this season and won by an average of 11.3 points per contest. Yet, the sportsbooks are undeterred by those results. Atlanta forward Paul Milasp is listed as doubtful, and likely will miss his second straight game. All Milsap did in Atlanta’s 3 wins against Milwaukee is average 20.7 points per contest. These teams are headed on opposite paths. Milwaukee is 10-2 in their last 12 games, and that includes 5-0 SU&ATS during its previous 5 at home. Conversely, Atlanta is currently on a 5-game losing streak, and failed to cover on 4 of those occasions. Bet on Milwaukee minus the points for a 5* wager.

  2017-03-24 20:05:00

Joe D'Amico's 100% LATE INFO PLAY 7 stars
 

 

Take Wisconsin.

This is my Late Info.

Game 871.

6:55 pm pst.

 

 

Wisconsin has 4 experienced players that sport a 13-3 SU record in NCAA Tournament play. The Badgers own a stifling, defense that allows just 61.8 PPG and 27.7 RPG. They are 5-1 both SU and ATS their L6 coming into this matchup and really dismantled Villanova (65-62) on Saturday. The line is favoring Florida because of the team beating Virginia, 65-39 less than a week ago. But looking at the game, the offensively stunted Cavaliers shot just 29.6% from the field and was just 1-15 beyond the arc, and still nearly matched the Gators rebound performance (28 compared to 32 for UF). This is where the Gators will be missing big man and only true rebounder, John Egbunu. The Badgers are 7-1-1 ATS their L9 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog and 4-1 ATS their L5 vs. teams with a winning % of over .600. Take Wisconsin. Thank you.

  2017-03-24 21:55:00

Tony's Friday Sweet 16 Triple Header - A Trifecta of Winners for $10 Each! GET PAID
 

 

 

#874 - Baylor -3.5  *7:25 est

 

Too long for South Carolina and Baylor is not shy about running and gunning and do not hold back, which was Dukes meltdown.  South Carolina a one hit wonder in my opinion and cannot trade punches here.

 

Play 1 Unit on Baylor

 

#875 - UCLA -1  *9:30 est

 

Not sold on Kentucky at all, not the same dominant team and UCLA simply is loaded with talent across the board.  Tough call many think, but I think UCLA wins this by 8+ points.

 

Play 1 Unit on UCLA

 

 

#871 - Wisconsin +1.5 to 2   *9:55 EST

 

Experience, fundamentals, senior laden team in Wiskey and they have answered the bell as an underdog before and in the last game as well.  At days end this team has been to 3 of these as a team and that counts.  Florida is up and down and Wisconsin battle tested weekly in the Big 10 and I like their low post game and ability to hit threes outside.  The Badgers hang around and then put it away, that is their pattern of winning games late.

 

Play 1 Unit on Wisconsin  

  2017-03-24 19:30:00

Rickenbach NHL *EARLIEST CASH* 11-5, 69% Run! 7:35 ET!
  Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NHL Friday 8* OVER 5.5 goals +125 in Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:05 ET - The Bolts have gone over the total in 3 straight games and, not only that, all 3 games totaled at least 8 goals. Tampa Bay is coming off of a 6-3 win but, prior to that, the Lightning had allowed exactly 5 goals in 3 straight games! As you can plainly see, the Bolts are having trouble keeping the puck out of their own net. Now they take on a Red Wings team that is off of a 2-1 road win but that lost 2-1 in its most recent home game. Scoring just one goal on home ice is certainly an unusual result for Detroit and I look for them to bounce back here. Prior to that loss to the Sabres, the Red Wings had scored 3 goals or more in 5 of their last 9 road games. Look for the over to improve to 7-2 in Detroit's Friday games this season as The Joe will certainly be an amped-up arena for a Friday night Red Wings home game against a divisional foe. As for the Bolts, they knocked the Red Wings out of the post-season last year and have proceeded to score 14 goals against them in the 3 meetings this season. To say the Lightning are confident here is a huge understatement. This one shapes up to be a highly entertaining game! 8* OVER the total in Detroit
  2017-03-24 19:35:00

Rickenbach NHL *Contrarian* Crusher FRIDAY PAYDAY! 75% Run!
  Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach NHL Friday 8* Dallas Stars Money Line +145 vs San Jose Sharks @ 8:35 ET - This is a revenge game for the Sharks as they just lost here 1-0 on Monday. However, San Jose is actually down 2.2 net units on the season when playing with revenge. Not only has revenge not been a money earner for the Sharks, the other issue is simply that they just aren't playing well right now. San Jose has lost 4 straight games and is feeling the playoff pressure while the Stars come into this one loose and relaxed and have been coming with upsets on home ice. Overall, before their loss at Chicago yesterday, Dallas had won 7 of its last 13 games. Also, the Stars have won each of their last two games as home dogs with wins over the Sharks and the defending Stanley Cup champion Penguins the last two times they've been a home dog. San Jose has averaged just 1 goal per game during their 4-game losing streak and they're facing a Stars team that has averaged 3.6 goals per game in their 17 home games since the calendar flipped a page to 2017. The Sharks have lost 7 of 13 road games with a posted total of 5.5 goals this season. The Stars have won 4 of their 5 Friday game this season and you bet that the American Airlines Center in Big D will be rocking tonight. Great value with this home dog here! 8* DALLAS
  2017-03-24 20:35:00

Rickenbach 10* CBB *THE Game of the Year* Friday! 86% GOY RUN!
  Game of the Year - Rickenbach CBB Friday 10* Top Play Kentucky Wildcats (+) vs UCLA Bruins @ 9:35 ET - Kentucky has lost back to back games to UCLA - December of 2016 and December of 2015 - and this is even though the Wildcats took 14 more shots from the field in this season's match-up and 13 more shots from the field in last season's match-up. What happened? The Bruins simply shot "lights out" in each game. I don't expect a repeat of that here. The Cats have really dialed things up a notch on defense as the season has gone on and they've held 8 of their last 11 opponents under 41.9% from the field. While both teams have improved since they met in early December this season, the young Wildcats really needed the extra time to mature and that will pay huge dividends in this rematch. Also, unlike Kentucky, UCLA hasn't exactly been "dialed in" on defense. Conversely, the Bruins have allowed at least 43.7% from the field in 3 straight games and UCLA also has not been defending the 3-ball nearly as well as Kentucky has. The Bruins have allowed an average of 78 points per game in their last 3 games. The Wildcats haven't allowed 78 points in game in ANY of their last 12 games. Kentucky has, in fact, allowed 67 points or less in 9 of its last 12 games. UCLA has all the glitzy offensive stats so they are a popular choice but defense wins games like this at this point in the season and the Wildcats have truly come along way and definitely defend the perimeter much better than the Bruins do. UCLA is 11-8 SU in tournament games the past 3 seasons but UK is 17-2 SU in this same stretch and the Wildcats have greatly matured as this season has gone on. This is a double revenge spot for the Cats and I don't see them being denied. Lets not forget they obliterated the Bruins 83-44 three years ago and, after suffering tight losses in each of the last two meetings, though this won't be that type of blowout I do see the Wildcats winning this one large as they get their revenge when it counts the most! 10* KENTUCKY
  2017-03-24 21:35:00

Ryan’s 7* ‘Sweet 16’ SIM Algorithm Titan
 

7* graded play on UCLA (875) as they take on Kentucky in the Sweet 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament set to start at 9:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCLA will win this game by at least 7 points.

 

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

Kentucky is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons.

Kentucky is 6-34 ATS (-31.4 Units) when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game since 1997.

Kentucky is a near-imperfect 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when they allow 81 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Kentucky is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season. 

 

Other Fundamental and Technical Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board UCLA.

 

  2017-03-24 21:35:00

Jim Feist's NBA Trend Tracker Game of the Year - Friday!
 

03/24 10:35 PM EST  NBA   (867) MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES VS (868) LOS ANGELES LAKERS.
Take: Trend Tracker Game of the Year, (867) MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES.
Reason: Minnesota just finished a brutal four-game stretch against strong teams, losing all 4 (3 on the road). But the Timberwolves are 8-2 ATS against the Western Conference and face a terrible L.A. Lakers squad. The Lakers are #28 in points allowed and dead last in field goal shooting defense, on a 3-11-1 ATS run. The Lakers are 18-40 ATS against the Western Conference and the road team is 18-8 ATS in the last 26 meetings. Play Minnesota.
  2017-03-24 22:25:00

DOC'S SPORTS SWEET 16 GAME OF THE YEAR
 

10 Unit Play. #871 Take Wisconsin over Florida (Friday 9:55 pm TBS) SWEET 16 GAME OF THE YEAR. Florida has fool’s gold confidence at the moment. Their players and coaches believe they put forth a coaching masterpiece on Saturday against Virginia. But that was because Virginia is just inept on offense, had no inside presence, and could not make wide open jump shots. Wisconsin can do all three of those things and when you put experience with it this team will be hard to stop by anyone left in the East Region. Wisconsin just took down the No. 1 team in the country and the Wildcats plays much more in your face defense than do the Gators. Florida will not make Wisconsin uncomfortable on offense and I just do not believe Florida will be able to make enough jump shots to win this game. Wisconsin has players that are used to playing in big game and they want to finish the job this year after losing to Notre Dame in the Sweet 16 last year. The Gators also had a huge edge in playing the first two games in Orlando but that will not be the case on Friday. Wisconsin is 7-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 NCAA Tournament Games as an underdog. Florida is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win in their previous game. 

  2017-03-24 22:00:00

#1 RANKED 2016 ROB V: 6* DOUBLE PERFECT Tournament TOP Play
  The late night banger is on Wisconsin. Game 871 at 9:55 eastern on TBS. Wisky fresh off a dog win over Villanova now takes on Florida in a battle of the 4 vs 8 Seed. Historically the 8 seed has won this matchup 7 of 10 times which is a plus for Wisconsin. Florida destroyed Virginia holding them to 39 points in a blowout win which sets them up in 2 bounce systems. Teams who allowed less than 40 in the tournament are 0-6 ats off back to back wins are 0-6 ats. Wisconsin is 9-1 ats in the Tournament as a dog off back to back wins and 8th seeded dogs are 5-1 ats in this round. Dogs off a win of 3 or less are 9-3 ats and teams like the Badgers who were in round 3 last year and return have covered 80% if they are a dog of 6 or less and are taking on a team that that has won less than 84% of their games. Finally sweet 16 favorites off a win of 20 or more are on an 0-5 spread run. We are backing the Badgers in this one.
  2017-03-24 22:05:00