Marc Lawrence 100% Perfect 4* MLB Key Play! - Thursday
Play - Texas Rangers w/Hamels vs Miley (Game 963).
Edges - Rangers: Hamels 3.13 ERA with 1.00 WHIP last seven starts; and 7-0 last 7 team starts during July; and 4-1 as a favorite this season… Orioles: Miley 11.35 ERA with 2.56 WHIP last 8 starts; and 0-3 last 3 home team starts vs Texas; and 2-10 last 12 team starts during July… With Hamels in strong KW form with 17 Ks and 2 BBs his last three starts, and Miley in wobbly KW form with 10Ks and 9 BBs his last three efforts, we recommend a 4* play on Texas.  Thank you and good luck as always.
  2017-07-20 19:05:00

Nelly's Thursday MLB Total Domination - July 20

07/20/17 Nelly's 8* #963/964 'UNDER' Texas Rangers (Hamels) at Baltimore Orioles (Miley) 7:05 PM ET

Texas has a reputation as a strong offensive team but it really isn't the case. The Rangers have 140 home runs but just a.736 team OPS on the season. Against left-handers the Rangers own a .678 team OPS for one of the AL's worst marks vs. southpaws and the July production has been very poor with just over three runs per game for Texas. Cole Hamels has been historically great in July and he has delivered consecutive dominant starts while allowing nine hits and two runs in three July outings for a 0.82 ERA. After a brilliant start to the season the numbers for Wade Miley have fallen off a cliff but he has far better numbers at home this season and this will be favorable matchup. Miley still owns strong strikeout potential and his season BABIP of .348 is sure to come down by season's end. The Orioles have an elite bullpen and the Rangers have posted improved relief pitching numbers in recent weeks as well. Baltimore's offensive prowess is also overvalued with a season OPS of just .737 including just a .710 mark vs. left-handers as it is often home run or bust for both of these squads and in a lefty-lefty matchup the ‘under is enticing.

Nelly's rates our Playbook Picks 1-10 stars. It is a long season so please have a money management plan and be conservative and conscientious with your wagers. Thanks for playing with Nelly's Sportsline and best of luck. 

  2017-07-20 19:05:00

Bryan Leonard's Diamond Gem

965 Detroit at Kansas City

Prefer the much better hitting Tigers here taking on a lefty. Detroit has a 10% edge in starting pitching and a 2% fielding advantage. The Royals do have the better bullpen by 4% but the closer left yesterday’s game with an injury.

The hitting is all Detroit with advantages of 13% overall, 7% home/away and a whopping 22% lefty/righty. Even with the recent trade of Martinez this Tigers lineup still hits lefties well.


  2017-07-20 20:15:00

Jim Feist's WNBA 3-Pack Attack - Thursday!

Reason: Chicago is a long way from home, pulling off an upset at Seattle the last game. But this is still a weak all around team, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on one days rest. Los Angeles (14-5) is 9-0 at home and 6-0 against the Eastern Conference. The Chicago Sky are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings, including 1-4 at Los Angeles. Play Los Angeles.

Take: over the total.
Reason: Chicago is a long way from home, a bad defensive team allowing 85.2 ppg -- second worst in the WNBA. Chicago is on a 37-18-1 run over the total, 23-8 over playing on one day of rest and 40-17-1 over against the Western Conference. Los Angeles (14-5) is 9-0 at home and 6-0 against the Eastern Conference. Los Angeles will run at the road weary visitors and the over is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings. Play Los Angeles.

Reason: Indiana is a weak offensive team, last in the East in scoring and second to last in the WNBA. They had to play yesterday, pulling off an upset at Phoenix, but are still on a 7-3 run under the total. They face a San Antonio squad with no offense, last in scoring with 73.5 ppg. And the Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Antonio. Play Indiana/San Antonio Under the total.

  2017-07-20 15:20:00

Jim Feist's 2-Team MLB Power Pack - Thursday

Reason: The Texas Rangers have red-hot ace Cole Hamels (4-0, 3.05 ERA) going, carrying a streak of 21 scoreless innings into Thursday's start. The Rangers are 25-4 when Hamels faces a team with a losing record, plus 19-9 in Hamels' last 28 road starts. Baltimore is 10-21 on natural grass, 3-9 against a lefty starter. Orioles southpaw Wade Miley (4-8, 5.40 ERA) was rocked by the Chicago Cubs in his first start after the break, giving up seven runs on nine hits and four walks over 4 2/3 innings. He is 1-4 over his last five outings. And the Orioles are 9-20 vs. the American League West. Play Texas.     

Take: MLB Late Bailout Total: Play San Diego/San Francisco Over the total.
Reason:  San Diego's pitching staff is getting shredded, allowing 9, 9 and 18 runs the last three nights. They are on a 6-0 run over the total as the offense has been fine, scoring 4 runs or more in every game. Padres starter Jhoulys Chacin (8-7, 4.33 ERA) has a 7.95 ERA on the road. San Francisco is on a 6-1-1 run over the total. Buster Posey is 10-for-28 with one homer versus Chacin, and is 8-for-20 during a six-game hitting streak. And the Over is 7-2-1 in the Giants last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Play San Diego/San Francisco Over the total.       
  2017-07-20 19:00:00

Jim Feist's CFL Aerial Assault Total - Thursday!
07/20 07:30 PM EST   CFL   (353) EDMONTON VS (354) HAMILTON.
Take: over the total.
Reason: Edmonton (3-0) has the offense clicking, averaging 25 ppg. They face a winless Hamilton squad that has no defense, allowing 47, 31 and 32 points in three losses. The over is 5-1 in the Tiger-Cats last 6 games following a straight up loss, plus 5-1 over after a spread loss. Play Edmonton/Hamilton Over the total.     
  2017-07-20 19:25:00

Jim Feist's AL Central Game of the Month - Thursday!
Take: AL Central Game of the Month: Play the (965) DETROIT TIGERS.
Reason:  Detroit has a strong offense, #11 in runs scored, Top 10 in on-base percentage, taking the first two games of this 4-game series, 10-2 and 9-3. Tigers starter Michael Fulmer (10-6, 3.06 ERA) has had a strong campaign, 4-0 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in his last four outings on Saturday after allowing one run and only two hits in eight innings of an 11-1 rout versus Toronto. The Tigers are 12-5 in Fulmers last 17 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Streaky Kansas City is on a 2-7 run with a bad offense. The Royals are 0-7 when Danny Duffy faces the AL Central. And the Tigers are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Kansas City. Play Detroit.       

  2017-07-20 19:55:00

Cajun Sports MLB 8* AL 504 Diamond Club Wiseguy Insider

MLB:  8* (#965) Detroit Tigers -111 vs. Kansas City Royals      8:15PM

The Kansas City Royals are in the Motor City playing a four-game mid-week set against the host Detroit Tigers. Thursday night they will take the field for the fourth and final game of this series with the Tigers holding a 2 to 1 lead after the Royals grabbed a win on Wednesday night. Detroit’s offense has been rolling of late scoring twenty-two runs in their last three trips to the diamond and scoring six or more runs in four of their last six outings. If the Tigers plate at least three runs they are a perfect 6-0 their last six qualifying contests. Those twenty-two runs the Tigers scored have been allowed by this Royals team. For the Royals when they allow more than three runs they have lost six straight in that situation. Kansas City is 25-23 SU at home this season but they have won just once in their last five at Kauffman Stadium. The Tigers will send Michael Fulmer to the bump with his 10-6 record and his ERA of 3.06 this season. When Fulmer starts on the road he is 4-4 with an ERA of 2.25 on the year and he is perfect in his last three outings overall with a 3-0 record and an ERA of 2.45 over that span. Fulmer faced this Royals team back in late June in Detroit winning 7 to 3 while going 8.7 innings allowing three runs with two of those earned on seven hits and striking out seven in the win. Detroit has won seven of their last nine games versus divisional opponents when Fulmer gets the start. The Royals will send Danny Duffy to the hill with his 5-6 record on the year and his ERA of 3.51. Over his last three outings Duffy is 1-2 with an ERA of 3.42. Our BbTPR Index projects a run advantage of 1.42 runs in favor of the Tigers. The SPMatrix has Michael Fulmer with an average of 7.18 compared to Danny Duffy who has an average of 5.05.  Our next set of metrics gives us an overall Pitchers Power Rating based on the situation. In this matrix Michael Fulmer has an average for this game of 109 and Danny Duffy comes in with an average of 86 compared to the league average of 100. The BbMomentum Matrix has the Tigers solidly in positive territory while the Royals even with their win last night continue to be just over the break-even average of .500. The Tigers have a Momentum average of .612 and the Royals come in with an average of only .504.  The numbers tell us the Tigers will look to win this series with a victory tonight in Kansas City as they take a 3 to 1 series victory over a very average Royals team. 

  2017-07-20 20:15:00 Database MLB Top Play! - Thursday
Play - Atlanta Braves w/Foltynewicz vs McCarthy (Game 957).
Edges - Braves: Folytynewicz 7-0 with 3.76 ERA last 7 overall team starts; and 9-4 at night this season… Dodgers: McCarthy 6 BBs and 6 Ks last three starts.   

  2017-07-20 22:15:00

Fargo's 10* WNBA Thursday Enforcer (MASSIVE Winner)
  Indiana is coming off a rare road win last night as it defeated Phoenix but was fortunate to catch a Mercury team without Brittney Griner and it showed as Phoenix had no inside presence. The Fever are now playing a rare back-to-back as this is just the seventh occurrence this season of a team playing with no rest with the previous six going 2-4 straight up and ATS. Indiana is just 3-7 on the road with two of those wins coming against Chicago and this is just the third time it has been listed as a road favorite, splitting the first two. San Antonio has won only two games this season but both have come in the last six games and one of those happened to come against Indiana. That puts the Fever in a revenge situation but that is negated with the no rest spot and not only that but this will be their third game in four days in three different time zones. San Antonio heads home after coughing up a double-digit lead in the first half and falling to the Dream 88-75 on Tuesday. The Stars are limping into the All-Star Break without the services of guard Kayla McBride who remains questionable with an ankle sprain. The Stars have covered four of their last five games following an ATS loss while the Fever are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* (618) San Antonio Stars
  2017-07-20 20:00:00

Fargo's 10* MLB Game of the Month (+$8,500 MLB Run)
  Seattle really stumbled at home prior to the break as it went just 2-9 over its last 11 games at Safeco but the time off and time away make that lousy record meaningless right now. Going back, the Mariners have won 10 of their last 13 series openers. The Yankees are that Wild Card team that Seattle is chasing and it has been a very rough stretch going back to mid-June as they are 10-22 over their last 32 games yet they come in as a road favorite which is an indication of linesmakers needing to adjust lines based on the public. New York is six games under .500 on the road while going 3-10 in its last 13 road games against teams with a winning home record. They send Luis Severino to the hill and he is having a strong season following a disappointing 2016 campaign. He has a 3.40 ERA through 18 starts but the Yankees have not been able to take much advantage as they are just 9-9 in those games including going 4-6 in his 10 road starts. Coincidence or not, it is hard to ignore the fact that the Yankees are 1-9 in his last 10 series opening starts. Seattle counters with Felix Hernandez who is not the same dominant pitcher he used to be but he is still very dependable. He has allowed three runs or less in four of his first starts since coming off the disabled list and the Mariners are 11-3 in his last 14 home starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (968) Seattle Mariners
  2017-07-20 22:10:00

Doc's MLB Detroit – Kansas City Side Smash

3-unit Play Take #966 Kansas City Royals over Detroit Tigers (8:15pm EST) We scored a victory with Kansas City yesterday and like them again for the same reasons. The Royals are a very tough out at home and Detroit has really struggled on the road. We get a good pitching matchup (Michael Fulmer vs. Danny Duffy) but I think the Royals come out on top in the end.

  2017-07-20 20:15:00

  The CFL Power system Play is on Hamilton Game 354 at 7:30 eastern. This is a battle of an 0-3 Hamilton team vs a 3-0 Edmonton team. The points are the play however, as CFL Dogs of 3 or more in week 3 or later are 15-4 to the spread of late if they are winless. Hamilton is 7-2 in week 5 through 9and have covered 6 of 9 off back to back losses. Edmonton has failed to cover 4 of 5 on the road if the total is 52 to 56 and 3 of 4 as a road favorite from -3.5 to -7. Hamilton lost 2 close ones at home last year to Edmonton by 3 points but beat then on the road in the prior game. Based on the system we will back the double home loss revenger here. Stay at home with Hamilton.
  2017-07-20 19:35:00

#1 RANKED 2016 ROB V: 5* MLB 22-1 Dominator System
  The MLB Power system Play is on the NY. Yankees. Game 967 at 10:10 eastern. NY has won 10 of 11 here in Seattle and they take on a Seattle team coming home off a big win in Houston. Seattle has lost 9 of the last 11 at home and are a hideous 1-11 as a home dog off a road win. Road favorites off a road loss scoring 2 or less runs with 0 errors are 10-0 since 2004 vs an opponent off a road win that scored 4 or less runs. NY has Severino going and he has a solid 3.02 road Era. He takes on an aging F. Hernandez who is not what he ones was and has gone 6 or less inning sin all but one of his starts. Look for the Yankees to take the opener.
  2017-07-20 22:10:00

Doug Upstone's 100% MLB Situational Play - Also 100% Guaranteed
#963  Rangers +102

Baltimore has drilled Texas like it's an oil well in taking the first three games of the series by a combined 25-4 tally. Those betting baseball are more on board with how the teams are presently playing than with on what looks like a starting pitching mismatch. The Rangers opened as -115 favorites behind Cole Hamels (4-0. 3.05), who has not allowed a run in 21 consecutive innings, but they have been flipped to +102 underdogs and will see Wade Miley (4-8, 5.40) take the ball. Hamels is still a legitimate stopper and if Texas is going to break out of its slump, Miley should be the perfect pitcher to do so against. Plus, the O's are is 0-12 vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.10 or better this season. 
  2017-07-20 19:05:00

Thursday Night MLB 5* Money Line Power Pick

Yankees (Severino) @ Mariners (Hernandez) 10:10 PM ET

Game# 967-968

Play On: Mariners +111 (5*)

Since 2016, Luis Severino is 3-10 during his team starts when he’s -100 to -150 on the money line. The Yankees continue to struggle offensively. They’ve averaged a paltry 2.9 runs scored per game during their previous 7 outings.

The Mariners enter today having won 6 of their last 7 games. Seattle veteran pitcher Felix Hernandez has been extremely sharp in his last 2 starts. The Mariners bullpen has been excellent over its last 7 games. Bet on the Mariners for a 5* money line wager.

  2017-07-20 22:10:00

Joe D's MLB 21-5 LATE INFO MOVE 8 stars

Take UNDER in the Milwaukee/Pittsburgh matchup.

This is my Late Info Move.

Games 953/954.

9:35 am pst.


Only 1 of the 10 meetings this season between these Division rivals has gone Over the Total. Games 1, 2, and 3 of this series all went UNDER the Total, averaging just 6.0 ROG. RH, Jimmy nelson (8-4, 3.27) takes on RH, Jameson Taillon (5-3, 3.06). The UNDER is 19-5-2 the L26 meetings in this series. Take the UNDER. Thank you.

  2017-07-20 12:35:00

The 146th Open Championship
Five plays TO WIN The Open Championship:

Sergio Garcia (18-1) 30% of a unit

Adam Scott (30-1) 20% of a unit

Matt Kuchar (50-1) 11% of a unit

Marc Leishman (60-1) 10% of a unit

Andy Sullivan (150-1) 4% of a unit

Total amount risked is 75% of a unit.

  2017-07-20 01:35:00

The 146th Open Championship - HEAD TO HEAD MATCH UPS

The Open Championship at Royal Birkdale
Full Tournament Head to Head Match Ups for One Unit a piece

(Game 7013) Sergio Garcia (-130) over Rory McIlroy 8:04am
(Game 7022) Hideki Matsuyama (+100) over Rory McIlroy 5:09am
(Game 7029) Tommy Fleetwood (-130) over Jason Day 5:09am
(Game 7037) Paul Casey (-130) over Brooks Koepka 5:09am
(Game 7070) Andy Sullivan (-110) over Tyrrell Hatton 7:53am
(Game 7085) Russell Henley (-145) over Bubba Watson 3:47am
(Game 7088) Emiliano Grillo (-145) over Bryson DeChambeau 2:41am
(Game 7089) Andrew Johnston (-165) over Si Woo Kim 4:47am

Proposition Bets

Rickie Fowler to Finish Top 10 (+160)
Hideki Matsuyama to Finish Top 10 (+200)
  2017-07-20 02:40:00

Rickenbach 10* MLB Afternoon Annihilation SPECIAL! 2-1 Top Plays yesterday!
  Afternoon Annihilation - Rickenbach Wednesday MLB 10* Top Play OVER the total in Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 1:35 ET - Hot afternoon weather in Boston with the wind blowing out toward center field or at least right-center in this one. The point is that it will be a hitter-friendly afternoon. I am well aware of the fact that last night's 5-1 Boston win means that the under is now 6-0 in the Red Sox last 6 games. However, this one is all about the pitching match-up and the fact that is a day game should also help our cause. Francisco Liriano gets the start for the Blue Jays and he exited his last start very early due to a sore neck. Whether or not the neck bothers him much today is not that much of a factor but it certainly won't help him. The fact is that Liriano has been consistently struggling whether his neck is sore or not! The Toronto southpaw has an 8.36 ERA in his last 3 starts. Also, on the season, Liriano has particularly struggled on the road! He has an 8.33 ERA in starts away from home and the over has gone 5-2 in those 7 games. The Red Sox hand the ball to Doug Fister for his 4th start of the season. In his first three starts he has compiled a 6.13 ERA and he already has 9 walks in less than 15 innings of work. He just faced the Jays on June 30th and Liriano just faced the Sox on July 1st. The fact these lineups just saw these starting pitchers also should lead to plenty of offense in this one. Also, Toronto has played 13 games as a road dog in a range of +125 to +175 and only 3 of the 13 games resulted in an under! 10* OVER the total in Boston
  2017-07-20 13:35:00

Rickenbach 10* MLB Contrarian Crusher Thursday BEST BET! 71% Top Plays!
  Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach Thursday MLB 10* Top Play Texas Rangers Money Line (+) @ Baltimore Orioles @ 7:05 ET - This is a contrarian play as many will be looking Baltimore's way since the Orioles are 28-19 at home this season, have won the first 3 games of this series, and the Rangers have lost 4 straight overall. However, the pitching edge for Texas here simply can not be ignored! The Rangers Cole Hamels has allowed 0 earned runs in his last 21 innings on the mound. Also, versus Baltimore the left-hander has a 3.10 ERA in his last 3 starts. He'll be opposed by fellow southpaw Wade Miley in this one. The Orioles lefty has been struggling badly! Not only does Miley have a ridiculous 11.24 ERA in his last 3 starts, he has given up an insane 33 baserunners (24 hits and 9 walks) in the 12 innings spanning these 3 outings. Also, in Miley's last 3 starts versus the Rangers, he has allowed 13 earned runs in only 16 innings of work. Even though the Rangers have been slumping at the plate, Miley will be sure to bring out the best in them Thursday evening. Also, Hamels has the longest current scoreless innings streak in the AL with his run of putting up goose eggs having reached 21 straight! The Rangers are 5-1 in Hamels last 6 starts and the Orioles are 1-4 in Miley's last 5 starts! Texas is 6-2 in Thursday games this season and 25-16 on Thursdays the last 3 seasons combined. The Rangers are also 5-2 this season and 23-13 the past 3 seasons combined when they are off of a game where they allowed 10 runs or more. 10* TEXAS
  2017-07-20 19:05:00

Rickenbach 10* CFL Thursday Thrasher SPECIAL! 26-11, 70%, +$14,000 Tops!
  Thursday Thrasher - Rickenbach CFL 10* Top Play OVER the total in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Edmonton Eskimos @ 7:30 ET - Hamilton is on the only team without a win this season and I certainly look for them to "bring it" tonight in terms of an intense effort at home. However, the problem for the Tiger-Cats is they've allowed 37 points per game. The Ti-Cats won't be able to stop an Edmonton offense that is much more talented than their early season scoring average of 25 points per game would lead you to believe! The fact is that the Eskimos defense has been a pleasant surprise this season in terms of points allowed but this is a definite flat spot in terms of defensive intensity for Edmonton. Last week the Eskimos squeaked out a tight win over the Grey Cup champion Ottawa Redblacks. Also, on deck for Edmonton is a huge divisional game next week versus the BC Lions. The point is that the Eskimos will struggle to maintain their defensive intensity here and that should open things up for a Hamilton offense that is desperate to get enough done to get their first win of the season. I am well aware of the fact that Edmonton has not had an over yet this season but there is good reason that the odds makers opened up this total in the mid-fifties. The fact that it has since dropped into the low-fifties has given us great line value in this spot! The over is 3-1 the last 4 times the Eskimos have been a road favorite of 3 points or less. Look for the over to improve to 3-0 this season in Tiger-Cats non-conference action! 10* OVER the total in Hamilton
  2017-07-20 19:30:00

Ryan’s NL ‘Upset Alert’ Titan; 26-9 situation

7* graded play on San Diego as they take on San Francisco in MLB action set to start at 10:10 PM ET.

Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics

When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward  opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, San Diego is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit  say 52%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.

We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons.

    So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.

Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points

The following ‘Black Jack’ system has gone 37-34 hitting just 52% winners, but has made 41.1 units/unit wagered since 2013. The system has also averaged an impressive +203 DOG.

  1. Play on road underdogs.

  2. Money line of +175 to +250.

  3. Team has a terrible OBP of .300 or less.

  4. Facing a very good NL starting pitcher with a WHIP greater than 1.250.

  5. With an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game.

The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.

  • San Diego is a solid 13-6 (+12.4 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse this season.

  • San Francisco is just 12-27 (-19.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

  • San Francisco is just 9-26 (-22.0 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season.

Methodology Discussion Points

If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board San Diego.

  2017-07-20 22:10:00