Jim Feist's Monday MLB Total Annihilator
  9/17 04:05 PM PT / 7:05 PM ET  

MLB   (951) NEW YORK METS VS (952) PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

Take: UNDER

Reason: The Phillies recent 3-7 run has really taken a bite out of their chances at a NL East title. The Phillies have dropped to 6.5 games back of the Braves and five back of a Wild Card spot. The Phillies did take two of three in their weekend series with the Marlins, losing on Sunday 4-6. Today, Jake Arrieta returns to the hill with a 10-9 record and 3.66 ERA. Arrieta has been fair of late, but nothing spectacular. The one-time Cy Young winner has allowed four runs in each of his last three of four starts with three runs in the other game. The Mets dropped two of three to the Red Sox in their weekend series. New York has gone under in four of the last five with one push. Zack Wheeler will toe the rubber today for the Mets with a 11-7 record and 3.23 ERA. Wheeler has been very good of late, allowing one run or no runs in seven of his last nine starts. I don't expect many runs in this one tonight the way Wheeler has been pitching and the way I know Arrieta can pitch. I'm playing UNDER. 
  2018-09-17 19:05:00

Fargo's MLB Monday Triple Play (136-93 MLB Run)
  This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES as part of our MLB Monday Triple Play. The Braves lost their last two games over the weekend against the Nationals which followed a six-game winning streak that saw their lead improve to 7.5 games and now sits at 6.5 games over the Phillies. Surprisingly, home field has not been great this season as Atlanta is just two games over .500 here but it keeps the line within reason and this is a big series against another team fighting for the playoffs. St. Louis was able to salvage the series finale against the Dodgers to avoid the four-game sweep and pull back to even with Los Angeles for the final Wild Card spot in the National League. The Cardinals finally got some good pitching on Sunday as they came into yesterday allowing three runs or less just twice over their previous 15 games, allowing 5.9 rpg over that stretch. Atlanta turns to Mike Foltynewicz and he continues to dominate with a 2.66 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 28 starts. He has allowed one run or less in six of his last seven starts and faces a Cardinals team that is 1-4 in their last five games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Miles Mikolas has put together a great season with a 2.99 ERA and 1.12 WHIP but he is starting to fade as he has a career high in innings and fatigue looks to be setting in. the Braves are 12-3 in their last 15 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Here, we play on National League home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher that are hitting.255 to .269 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.00 or better. This situation is 33-7 (82.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (956) Atlanta Braves

This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS as part of our MLB Monday Triple Play. Arizona lost two of three in Houston after losing three of four in Colorado so it was not the roadtrip it envisioned and the Diamondbacks have not won a series since taking two games from the angels back on August 21 and 22. Arizona remains 4.5 games out of first place in the National League West and four games out of the second Wild Card spot. They have won 12 of 17 games after allowing five or more runs and the Diamondbacks are 10-4 in their last 14 home games following a road trip of seven or more days. The Cubs took their series with Cincinnati but did lose Sunday to remain 2.5 games ahead of the Brewers in the National League Central. The offense is struggling and Chicago is just 7-13 this season after batting .200 or worse in a three-game span. Patrick Corbin is having a very solid season with a 3.05 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 30 starts, half of which have come at home and 10 of those resulted in quality outings. He has faced the Cubs at home twice and he allowed one run over 12.2 innings. He is third in the league in strikeouts and that is not ideal for a Chicago team that is showing no life on offense. The Cubs are 2-5 in their last seven games against left-handed starters. Kyle Henricks has been on a decent run but he has not looked great on the road with a 3.89 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 14 starts. Here, we play on home favorites with a moneyline of -110 or higher starting a pitcher who walked one or fewer hitters each of his last two outings, with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 2.00 the last five games. This situation is 43-6 (87.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (960) Arizona Diamondbacks

This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Monday Triple Play. We lost with the Royals yesterday as Jakob Junis came up small by allowing three home runs in three innings before getting the hook. The now go from a slight home favorite to a large underdog and it is took much of an adjustment. Kansas City has been playing pretty well of late and the offense tore it up against Minnesota, averaging 7.5 rpg during the four-game series. The Royals are 9-3 in their last 12 games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game and they have won six of their last seven series openers. Pittsburgh has won two straight games to conclude a 3-3 roadtrip to remain at .500 and remain seven games out of the final Wild Card spot in the National League. The problem is there are only 14 games left and five teams are ahead of the Pirates so any chance of a playoff spot is gone. They are 3-7 in their last 10 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Brad Keller has made 18 starts and he is by far the best starter in the rotation as he has a 3.04 ERA. Over his last six starts, he has allowed two runs or less in each and has a 1.85 ERA in those games with Kansas City winning five of those games. Joe Musgrove goes for the Pirates and he is having a solid season as well but has struggled of late with a 6.04 ERA over his last four starts. Kansas City falls into a great underdog situation where we play on American League underdogs that are hitting .265 or worse with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.30 to 1.40 going up against a National League starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20. This situation is 28-14 (66.7 percent) since 1997. 9* (973) Kansas City Royals
  2018-09-17 19:05:00

Rob V: NATIONAL LEAGUE TOTAL Of The MONTH
  The MLB Totals system play is on the Under in the Washington at Miami game. Rotation numbers 953/954 at 7;10 eastern. This game fits a high end totals system that plays under for home dogs of 140 or more that are off a +140 or higher 2+ run road dog win scoring 5 or more runs, vs an opponent that had 10+ hits on the road. These games average 6 runs since 2004. The Natd are 5 of 6 under on Mondays and 6 of 8 under in game 1 of a series. Miami is 4 of 5 under on Mondays and 6 of 7 home vs winning teams. Richards for the fish was solid here vs The Nats going 6 scoreless earlier in the year.. In the series 20 of 28 here have gone under and that is what we will recommend tonight.
  2018-09-17 19:10:00

Rickenbach 10* MLB *Earliest Cash* Monday *4PT* He is 7-2 / 78% L9 TOPS!*
  Earliest Cash - Rickenbach MLB Game #953 Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals @ 7:10 ET - Erick Fedde is off of a surprisingly strong start in his last outing but he faced the Phillies in the middle of a major slump. Prior to that outing Fedde had compiled a 6.26 ERA while allowing 35 hits in just 27 and 1/3 innings spanning his 6 prior starts. In other words, one shouldn't over-react to one strong start from Fedde and I look for him to struggle at Miami tonight. Of course the Marlins are likely to have pitching issues of their own here. Not only is the Marlins bullpen (5.47 ERA) ranked dead last in the majors this season, starting pitcher Trevor Richards has been struggling. The over is 5-0-1 in Richards last 6 starts as he has allowed 23 earned runs on 31 hits in just 27 and 1/3 innings of work. The over is 3-0 overall in the Marlins last 3 games and Washington is 8-4 to the over in their last 12 games. Look for more of the same on Monday as both starters struggle. 10* OVER the total in Miami
  2018-09-17 19:10:00

Rickenbach MLB *Run Line ROUT* Monday EARLY *He is on 10-0 / 100% Run!*
  Run Line Rout - Rickenbach MLB Game #958 Monday 8* Milwaukee Brewers Run Line -1.5 runs +120 vs Cincinnati Reds @ 7:40 ET - Wade Miley has allowed 2 earned runs or less in 12 of his 13 Brewers starts. The Milwaukee southpaw also has dominated the Reds as he has allowed just 1 earned run in each of his last 3 starts versus Cincinnati and two of those were this season. As for the Reds Anthony DeSclafani, he has allowed at least 4 earned runs in each of this last 3 starts versus the Brewers and 2 of those were this season. Also, the Cincinnati right-hander enter this start having allowed 10 runs (9 earned) in his last two starts and those have spanned less than 9 innings of work! The Brewers are off of a tight loss yesterday but still are 19-7 this season in games where they are a home favorite in a money line range of -125 to -175. That said, I like the added value offered here with the run line. By laying the 1.5 runs with Milwaukee, we get a +120 comeback price on the home favorite. Keep in mind, prior to their upset win yesterday at Wrigley Field, Cincinnati was 5-20 in their previous 25 road games. That is a horrible two month run and I expect it to resume here and this home win for the Brewers should come in blowout fashion. 8* MILWAUKEE
  2018-09-17 19:40:00

Jim Feist's MLB Run Line Rout of the Month - Tuesday
  09/18 05:05 PM PT / 8:05 PM ET  

MLB   (923) TAMPA BAY RAYS VS (924) TEXAS RANGERS

Take: (923) TAMPA BAY RAYS

Reason: Tampa Bay continues to impress with their second half play, winning three straight after Monday's shutout win over the Rangers 3-0. That's 12 wins in their last 15 games. Tonight they get their Ace on the hill in the person of Blake Snell. Snell is 19-5 this and that makes tonight's start all the more important as he goes for Number 20! Snell has not allowed two runs or less now in 12 of his last 13 starts. Have to believe that Snell will be one of the leading candidates for AL Cy Young this year. The Rangers have lost two straight and eight of their last 11 games. Yovani Gallardo starts tonight for the Rangers with a 8-5 record and 5.94 ERA. Gallardo has allowed 11 runs over his last 7 1/3 innings with six walks. I don't see much of a chance for the Rangers here tonight, especially with the Rays and Snell looking for that big 20th win for their ace. Take the Rays and lay the 1.5 runs
  2018-09-17 20:05:00

Marc Lawrence NFL Monday Night Crush Play! - Monday
  Play: Seattle Seahawks (Game 289).
Edges - Seahawks: 33-13 SU in games off a SU loss under Carroll; and Wilson 16-8-2 ATS as a dog … Bears: 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS as favorites against NFC West foes coming off a loss … We recommend a 3* play on Seattle.  Thank you and good luck as always. 
  2018-09-17 20:15:00

Under the NFL Monday Night Lights with James Patrick Sports
  Seahawks vs. Bears 8:15 pm est. ESPN
The Bears get the Monday Night Football spotlight and this is a winnable game against a Seattle team that is nowhere near as good as they have been in past seasons. Optimism is high in Chicago, as the Bears have a new head coach in Matt Nagy and new offensive weapons surrounding second-year quarterback Mitch Trubisky. The Bears could flirt with a winning record this season and if everything comes together they could challenge for a playoff spot. Seattle's passing game received a jolt, however, when No. 1 wideout Doug Baldwin suffered a sprained MCL in the opener. With the Seahawks just (2-6-2) ATS in their last (10) games on grass, “Bear Down” with Chicago here in the “Windy City”.
(3*) Play. #290 Take Chicago Bears vs. Seattle


  2018-09-17 20:15:00

Jim Feist's Monday Night Football Winner
  9/17 05:15 PM PT / 8:15 PM ET  

NFL   (289) SEATTLE SEAHAWKS VS (290) CHICAGO BEARS

Take: (289) SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

Reason: Seattle lost their opener last week at Denver, 24-27. The Seahawks ran just 49 plays to the Broncos 71 and both teams had three turnovers. The Broncos totaled 470 yards to just 306 by the Seahawks. Still, Seattle lost by just three points, pushing the 3-point line. The Bears had the bad luck of the Aaron Rogers comeback last week. The Bears led 21-3 before Rogers re-entered the game and led that amazing fourth-quarter comeback win, 24-23. It remains to be seen if the events of that loss will carry over to this week. These teams have met only one time since 2013 with the Seahawks winning at home, 26-0 as 15-point favorites. I expect the Bears will not let last week's shock carry over, but still, QB Russel Wilson will be tough to contain as the Seahawks cover this game. Play Seattle. 
  2018-09-17 20:15:00

Rickenbach NFL *100% PERFECT* MNF Annihilation *20-0 / 100% PERFECT*
  MNF Annihilation - Rickenbach NFL Game #289 Monday 8* Seattle Seahawks (+) @ Chicago Bears @ 8:15 ET - Yes the Seahawks have a few injuries but that is factored into this line. We're getting great value with road dog Seattle as we go against a Chicago team that is just 1-6 ATS the last 7 times they've been a home favorite. Also, the Bears QB is Mitch Trubisky while the Seahawks QB is Russell Wilson. You can't base a play on one position but, one thing is for certain, the QB position is an extremely critical one and Seattle has a huge edge there in this match-up. Also, while Seattle's D did struggle at Denver last week they did garner 3 interceptions in that game and hung tough in a 3-point loss. As for the Bears, it is tough to come back after an extremely deflating defeat to the division rival Packers. Chicago blew a huge lead at Lambeau Field last Sunday night and now feels the pressure of another primetime game on Monday night. While Bears head coach Matt Nagy is in his first year with Chicago, Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll is a long-time veteran. When Seattle is on the road against an NFC foe following a game against an AFC foe in the prior week, they are on an 8-1 ATS run. I also like backing the Seahawks off of a loss. Seattle is 11-2 ATS when they are off of a SU loss outside of their division and are facing a team that has a losing record. The Bears are 0-16 ATS when they are a home favorite against an NFC foe that is off of a SU loss. The Seahawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 5 road games (one push) against NFC opponents. That means this play is supported, in addition to a number of solid angles, by a pair of angles that are a combined 20-0 / 100% perfect. 8* SEATTLE
  2018-09-17 20:15:00

Fargo's 10* NFL Monday Star Attraction (SWEET +$38,656 L6+ Years)
  This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Chicago blew a big chance last week as it blew a 20-0 lead against Green Bay but it did show that the Bears have turned a corner after four straight miserable seasons where they have gone 19-45. The Bears are back in Chicago for their home opener as head coach Matt Nagy looks for his first victory. It has not been a good start for first year head coaches as they have gone a combined 2-11 heading into tonight but Chicago has a good matchup edge. The Seattle defense is in rough shape for tonight. Linebacker Bobby Wagner became the third Pro Bowl veteran ruled out tonight as he will miss with a groin injury and this is a big deal. Second-year free-agent Austin Calitro will start for Wagner and since he cannot play weakside linebacker Mychal Kendricks to play weakside linebacker against the Bears after just two practices with the team. Both starting cornerbacks are hurt and rookie right cornerback Tre Flowers is doubtful to play while they cut their starting defensive tackle Tom Johnson for concern with depth behind banged-up strong safety Bradley McDougald. The offense struggled last week against Denver as it managed only 306 total yards. The goal heading into this season was to run the ball better and Seattle managed only 64 yards on 16 carries and it will not get any easier on Monday night. The offensive line allowed six sacks and although a couple of those were on quarterback Russell Wilson for not throwing the ball away, it was clear right tackle Germain Ifedi was outclassed by linebacker Von Miller. Now comes Khalil Mack. The Bears offense was vertical in the first half but they pulled back in the second half for no apparent reason. Of 21 passing attempts after halftime, nine did not even cross the line of scrimmage while five more were within 5 yards of the line. The Bears need to open it back up. 10* (290) Chicago Bears
  2018-09-17 20:15:00

Joe D'Amico's MNF WINNER 7 stars
 

Take Seattle.

This is my MNF Winner.

Game 285.

5:15 pm pst.

 

Chicago won just 5 games LY and blew a 20-point lead LW in their opener. A stinging defeat that will linger. Now, the general public has bet this game up to a -4.5. They face a Seattle team that has Russell Wilson at the helm and Pete Carroll on the sideline. The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS the L5 meetings in this series and 8-3-1 ATS the L12 on MNF. The Bears are 3-9 ATS the L12 in September and 2-5-2 ATS the L8 vs. the NFC. Take Seattle. Thank you.

  2018-09-17 20:15:00

Ross Benjamin’s Monday Night NFL ATS Power Pick
 

Seattle @ Chicago 8:15 PM ET

Game# 289-290

Play On: Chicago -4.0 (5*)

Seattle is coming off a season opening 27-24 loss at Denver in which they allowed the Broncos to amass an alarmingly high 480 yards of total offense. Chicago is coming off a gut wrenching 24-23 loss at Green Bay in which they squandered a 20-0 second half lead. However, the Bears are a vey profitable 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games and that includes 6-3 ATS when facing a non-division opponent. This is a Bears team with a vastly underrated defense, and on paper is much improved offensively compared to last season, specifically so at wide receiver. Bet on the Bears minus the points for a 5* wager.

  2018-09-17 20:15:00

Seahawks @ Bears MONDAY NIGHT 3*** Side Play WINNER from King Creole:
 
Plays rated 2 thru 5 stars
Monday, Sept. 17th
8:15pm ET / 5:15pm PT
#289-290
Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears
3*** Play on: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
As we type this on Saturday afternoon, the BEARS are currently laying -3.5 points in this Monday Night game versus the Seahawks. Obviously, that number of 3.5 is KEY. Yes, we’ll stand by this play regardless if what the pointspread is when they kick it off at 8;15pm ET. But SHARP bettors already know the significance and DIFFERENCE between a 3… and 3.5 in a NFL game. It's the same in a game where the spread is around 7 points. The key number of THREE is easily the most COMMON margin of victory in a NFL game… and the number of SEVEN is 2nd-most common. Since the 1981 season, NFL games have finished exactly on THREE 15.18% of the time. That’s better than 1 out every SIX games that end right up on THREE. That's also almost DOUBLE the next most common number (SEVEN comes up 8.41% of the time). So the significance of grabbing the +3.5 or more points with the Seahawks cannot be overstated.

Obviously, we like the potential of the new-look Bears and their Head Coach (Mike Nagy). They have the pieces in place to be a potential Playoff team… but NOT until next season or 2020. Until then, these ‘Cubbies’ will be going through some growing pains. Like other sharp bettors, we LOVE playing on Chicago as mid-to-large UNDERDOGS. But when it comes to the role of chalk, these Bears are not quite ’Ready For Prime Time’… The BEARS have gone 5-16-2 ATS as home favorites since the 2012 season. That includes 1-6 ATS in the last three years… and 1-9 ATS versus any opponent off a SU Loss (like SEATTLE). Chicago is also 2-10 ATS in their history as MONDAY favorites of -6 or less points.

On the other hand, the Seahawks have been EXTREMELY profitable when catching a field goal or more. BEST in the league, in fact! SEATTLE has gone 18-3-3 ATS since the 2011 season as underdogs of +3 or more points. Not only that, but they are ranked in the Top Three in the league in profitability on this particular Day of the Week. In their history, the SEAHAWKS are 19-10-2 ATS on MONDAY NIGHTS… including 8-1-1 ATS when playing off a SU loss in their last game.

My first database query looks at short road underdogs on Mondays…

10-1 ATS last 5 years: All MONDAY NIGHT non-division road underdogs of < 6 points (SEAHAWKS) versus any home opponent off a SU loss (Bears).
So both teams are off last-second, CLOSE losses of 3 points (Seattle) and 1 point (Chicago), respectively… 0-5 ATS since 1992: All NFL home favorites of < 7 points when BOTH teams (Bears + Seahawks) are off close ROAD loss of 3 or less points.

This has been a very profitable week of the season to garb the points when BOTH teams lost their first game of the season… 8-26-1 ATS since 1992: All GAME TWO non-division home favorites when BOTH teams are off a Game One LOSS (Chicago and Seattle). These teams are also 2-12 ATS when playing with Revenge (like the Bears are).

Don’t look for much of a ‘Mile High LETDOWN’ for Seattle here… In the last three years, NFL road teams have gone a perfect 6-0 ATS AFTER playing a road game IN Denver (SEAHAWKS).

  2018-09-17 20:20:00

Rob V: 25-0 MONDAY NIGHT Play- MNF SIDES 18-8
  The NFL power system Play is on Seattle at 8:25 eastern We have a perfect system in this game that plays against non division home favorites if they are under .500 and both are off a road dog loss. The Bears blew the game last week and are 0-16 ats as a conference home favorite vs a team off a loss. The Bears are 0-9 ats at home vs losing teams on Monday nights. Seattle is 22-4 in primetime games and 8-1 ats off a non conference game if they are taking on a conference opponent today. The Hawks have covered 4 of 5 in the series here. Take the Points with Seattlle
  2018-09-17 20:25:00