|NBA Tuesday 3*** OVER OF THE DAY from King’s Totals Team!|
Plays rated 2 thru 5 stars
8:05pm ET / 5:05pm PT
CHICAGO BULLS @ MILWAUKEE BUCKS
3*** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
Tonight’s Central Division game between the BUCKS and BULLS opened at 211 points. As we type our writeup at 1:30pm ET, the line has risen to the range of 212 to 212.5 points. So get your play in as soon as possible. If they game were played earlier in the season… or IN Chicago, we might be tempted to go the other way. After all, NBA same-DIVISION games have already skewed heavily towards the UNDER so far in the 2017 season (39-59-4 O/U as of today according to our NBA Totals TODAY Tuesday newsletter). But the game is IN Milwaukee… the Bucks haven’t gone UNDER in a game since late in November… their main man (Antetokounmpo) looks like he WILL be in the lineup tonight… AND the Bulls have finally found their offensive ‘chops’ as of late. In this series’ earlier meeting, which was played just 11 days ago… both teams combined for 224 points. In that one played on December 15th (also in Milwaukee), the Bucks were a home fav of -8.5 points and the OU line was 205. Final score was 115 to 109. The game ended up going OVER by +19 points. It was the third STRAIGHT game in this Milwaukee / Chicago series that went OVER the Total since December of last season.
In the first month of the season, Chicago was one of our favorite UNDER teams. They started out 6-12 O/U in their first 18 games… and were averaging only 95 points per game. They were also one of the most inefficient offenses in the league. But they have turned on the jets since late November. Offensive scoring has increased all the way up to 106.5 ppg in the 12 games played in this month of December. In fact, prior to the road loss vs Boston three days ago, Chicago had scored 112 points… 112 points… 117 points… and 115 points in their last four (also 9-1 ATS in their last ten games!). As a result, the BULLS are on current streaks of 5-1 O/U in their last six games… and 9-3 O/U in their last 12 games. On the defensive side, they have allowed 115 or more points in THREE of their last four games as well.
On the flip side, this is NOT the time to be considering a Milwaukee UNDER. After all, they last time they went UNDER in a game was way back on November 39th (vs the #! UNDER Team in the entire league: Portland Trailblazers). So since late November… the BUCKS have gone 13-1-1 O/U in their last 15 games… and 10-0-1 O/U in THIS month of December. Average OU margin so far this month for Milwaukee has been +10.8 points. The AVERAGE game has gone OVER by double digits since the month started. During their current 15 game high-scoring run, they have scored 108 or more points ELEVEN times.
From the database: With both teams coming in on 2 days of rest, we note that:
CENTRAL DIVISION games in the NBA… with the host team FAVORED (BUCKS)… have gone 11-1 O/U in the last ten seasons in a ‘2/2’ REST situation (with teams 2 days of rest), and the OU line at > 206 points.