|Off a Tuesday â€˜OVER' Winner, hereâ€™s the 3*** NBA Top TOTALS PLAY for Wednesday from King Creole!|
Plays rated 2 thru 5 stars
10:35pm ET / 7:35pm PT
Utah Jazz @ Golden State Warriors
3*** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL
Wanna talk LOW-scoring series? You got it. This Warriors / Jazz seres has had great HISTORIC numbers. Since the 2009/2010 season, these two teams have gone 7-26 O/U in the last 33 meetings versus each other. Of course, if you want to talk RECENT form, then try this one on for size: In the last three years, the Warriors and Jazz have gone a PERFECT 0-6 O/U in the last six meeting. Average OU line: 207.4â€¦ Average combined points: just 197.0â€¦ Thatâ€™s a DOUBLE DIGIT average OU margin of -10.4 points per game.
Current play for BOTH teams only reinforces this play. Sharp OU bettors are already aware of Golden Stateâ€™s UNDER tendencies with Steph Curry out of the lineup (2-8 O/U thus far). We went UNDER in the Warriorâ€™s Christmas Day game against the Cleveland Cavaliers, and brought home the bacon by -24.5 points (OU line was 215.5 / final score was 99-92). And that was off an UNDER versus Denver that also cashed by -38 points, to boot! The Warriors only two games that have gone OVER in this time frame were BOTH games against division rival LA Lakers. And one of THOSE â€˜Oversâ€™ was because of OVERTIME. Golden State has now gone a PERFECT 0-8 O/U since November as non-division home favorites of < 13 points. According to our Wednesday issue of the NBA Totals TODAY newsletter, Golden State is the 4th LOWEST-scoring team in their last three gamesâ€¦ with an average of only 97.7 points per game. Since the 2014 season, the WARRIORS have gone 3-15 O/U versus all UNRESTED opponents when the OU line is < 210 points.
Guess who is the #1 LOWEST scoring team according to that chart? Tonightâ€™s opponent, the UTAH JAZZ (89.3 ppg last 3). Theyâ€™re already the 3rd SLOWEST team in the league on offense for the entire season, with only 96.6 possessions per game. In that last 3-game period, the possessions per game are down to only 91.6. Not only that, but the Jazz just plated in the high altitude of the Mile-High City (vs Denver) LAST night. Now they must treat,e with NO REST out to the Bay Area. In that game vs the Nuggets, the OU line was 205 points. Final score was Denver 107 - Utah 83. The UNDER cashed by -15 points. it was the 4th STRAIGHT game in a row for Utah that went UNDER the Total, and the average margin during this 4-game Under streak has been -10.4 points per game. UTAH has gone 3-10 O/U dating back to last season when playing with no rest, including a PERFECT 0-3 O/U during this current month of December. Give the Jazz 10 or MORE points (+10 >), and they have gone 1-8 O/U in the last three years in the range of > 186 and < 216 points.
From the database:
Already THIS season, NBA Underdogs who went UNDER the Total playing IN Denver the previous night (Jazz) have gone 0-5-1 O/Uâ€¦
In the current month of December, NBA teams who scored LESS than (<) 85 points in their last game (Jazz) have gone 1-8-1 O/Uâ€¦
Since November, NBA favorites of > 6 points off back-to-back home UNDERS (Warriors) have gone 2-10 O/Uâ€¦