|NFL Saturday 2** Wild Card SIDE PLAY Winner from King Creole:|
Plays rated 2 thru 5 stars
Saturday, Jan. 6th
NFL Wild Card Playoffs
8:15pm ET / 5:15pm PT
Atlanta Falcons @ Los Angeles Rams
2** Play on: ATLANTA FALCONS plus the points
Weâ€™re grabbing the points with the FALCONS in the nightcap ofÂ the Saturday WILD CARD double-header. ForÂ theÂ folks that will be laying the points with the upstart Rams, we say best of luck to you. But you are asking for a LOT. The ONLYÂ two home games in which the Rams Â won by more than six points this season were: Week One vs the Colts,Â whoÂ were led at QB by the great(?) Scott Tolzeinâ€¦ and Week Nine against the Texans who were led at QB by the great(?) Tom Savage. In their OTHER home games,Â the Rams LOST to the Redskinsâ€¦ LOST to the Seahawksâ€¦ LOST to the Eaglesâ€¦ LOST to the 49ersâ€¦ and barely beat Â the Saints (26 to 20). Weâ€™ll gladly tale any points withÂ theÂ Playoff-tested Falconsâ€¦ with a future hall ofÂ famer at QBâ€¦Â who RARELY loses by big margins. So what kept the FALCONS in the Playoff race this season. Not the offense.It was actually the defense. With theÂ current pointspread and OU line, the final score in this game is: LosÂ Angeles 27 - Atlanta 20. I seriously doubt that the Rams will get to 27 or more points. AfterÂ all, the Atlanta defense was actuallyÂ ranked BETTER than the RamsÂ this seasonâ€¦ allowed 5 points per game LESS than lastÂ yearâ€¦ and despite a drop off from last year, their OFFENSE is STILL better than Los Angelesâ€™. Not only that, but over the last six weeksâ€¦ Atlantaâ€™s defense hasÂ given up 23 or lessÂ points in ALL SIX games. And that included two games versus the Saints, one game vs the Vikings,Â and one game vs the Panthers.Â
As weÂ mentioned above, the Rams deserve all theÂ accolades thatÂ they have received this season. After winning only FOUR games in 2016, LA raced out to an early start in 2017â€¦ and closedÂ the year with 11 wins. But this is a round of the Playoffs in which teams who made an dramatic increase in wins compared to theÂ previous seasonÂ â€˜SHIT THE BEDâ€™â€¦
NFL WildCard round PLAYOFF teams who won SIX or LESSÂ games the previous year (Rams) have gone 11-33 ATS (25%) since 1995â€¦ 4-20 ATS since 2006 (17%)â€¦ and aÂ PERFECT 0-8 ATS in the lastÂ five years!
Additional WILD CARD â€˜Play AGAINSTâ€™ andÂ â€˜Play ONâ€™ situationsâ€¦
(1) 1-7 ATS since 2010: All Wild CardÂ teams whoÂ allowed 34 or MORE points in their last game (Rams).
(2) 11-1 ATS since 2009: All Wild Card teams whoÂ allowed 10 or LESS points at HOME in their lastÂ regular seasonÂ game (FALCONS).
In ALL rounds of the NFL Playoffsâ€¦
(1) 1-12 ATS since 1983 / 0-9 ATS since 1999: All Playoff teams off a SU division loss of 21 or moreÂ points in their lastÂ game (Rams).
(2) 8-12 ATS last 5 years: All Playoff Underdogs Â of +6 or less pointsÂ off a DOUBLE-DIGIT win (FALCONS), when the OU line is in the range of > 40 and < 57 points.