Fargo's MLB Wednesday Afternoon Triple Play (61-48 MLB Run)
2018-07-25 13:10:00

This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Wednesday Afternoon Triple Play. Washington was projected to win the National League East and be a serious World Series candidate for the National League, but it has been anything but a good season. The Nationals are now two games under .500 on the season and are seven games behind the Phillies in the National League East while sitting six games out of the final Wild Card spot. They blew a 4-0 lead last night while losing in extra innings, but this has been a good spot in the past as the Nationals are 14-5 in their last 19 games after losing the first two games of a series. Milwaukee continues to hang with the Cubs in the National League Central as they are now just 1.5 games back despite going into the All Star Break on a six-game losing streak. The Brewers have been strong at home with a 33-20 record but with the fact this line is so low, and the public is still all over them, we are taking the contrarian side. Tanner Roark got off to a great start this season but has been inconsistent over the last month by allowing four runs or lore in five of his last six start. He heads to Miller Park where he has allowed just one run in 14 innings over his last two starts. Freddy Peralta counters for the Brewers and after posting a 1.65 ERA through his first four starts, he has put up a 4.30 ERA over his last three outings. We have a contrarian situation where we play on National League teams when the money line is +125 to -125 that are hitting .255 or worse with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 7.00 or worse over his last five starts going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better. This situation is 38-18 (67.9 percent) since 1997. 9* (957) Washington Nationals

This is a play on the CHICAGO CUBS as part of our MLB Wednesday Afternoon Triple Play. We lost with the Cubs last night in what was a surprisingly dominant performance from Clay Buchholz, who allowed a solo home run for his only blemish in 6.2 innings. Chicago has dropped back-to-back games for the first time in a month as it has scored just one run in each of those games and the last time it was held to two runs or less in a two-game span, the Cubs erupted for 13 runs in their next game. They are a perfect 5-0 this season when scoring two runs or less combined in their two previous games, averaging 8.8 rpg. Arizona pulled to within a half-game of the Dodgers in the National League West after its third straight win where it has allowed just one run in each of those three victories. We do expect more of that today as Robbie Ray takes the hill and while he was dominant last season, that has not carried forward. He had a rough start to the season, went on the DL and it has not gotten much better with a 7.65 ERA over his last four starts. The Cubs are hitting .297 at home against left-handed pitching and have won 17 of their last 22 games against southpaw starters. Jon Lester is coming off his worst start of the season as he allowed eight earned runs against the Cardinals, double of his previous season high. Even with that, he still has a 3.12 ERA at home and Chicago has gone 8-2 in his 10 home starts while going back, the Cubs have gone 40-14 in his last 54 home starts. Here, we play against National League road underdogs that are allowing four or fewer rpg going up against a team outscoring opponents by one or more rpg. This situation is 99-38 (72.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (960) Chicago Cubs

This is a play on the CLEVELAND INDIANS as part of our MLB Wednesday Afternoon Triple Play. We put up a dud with Cleveland last night as Shane Bieber got shelled for seven runs in just 1.2 innings after what was a strong start to his season in his first seven starts. Even more surprising was that the Indians scored only two runs in the first seven innings before a couple of late garbage runs and prior to those, they put up a mere two runs over their previous 25 innings. Things may not look better today with this matchup, but the split is on their side for a big effort. The Pirates have won 11 straight games and continue to inch up in the standings as they gained another game on the Cubs in the National League Central while also picking up a game on the Braves in the Wild Card race where they are now just three games back. This has led to some early line movement where the number has come down and we can take advantage of that. Trevor Baur, who made his first All Star appearance, is making his second start since the break and his first one was not good. It was his second worst start of the season as he allowed four runs on nine hits in just four innings as he averaged 25.5 pitches per inning. It was a tough spot as he was pitching in Texas where it was 107 degrees and humid. His other comparable poor start where he averaged 23.4 pitches per inning, he bounced back with eight shutout innings in his next start. Jameson Taillon gets the ball for Pittsburgh and he has had a solid, yet unspectacular season with a 3.80 ERA in his 20 starts. He had struggled on the road prior to his last three road outings where he has allowed six runs over 16 innings but those came against the Mets, Padres and Reds, three of the four worst teams in the National League. 8* (974) Cleveland Indians