Fargo's MLB Friday Triple Play (123-86 MLB Run)
2018-09-07 19:10:00

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Phillies are playing themselves right out of the playoffs as they dropped two of three in Miami and are now 1-4 to start the month. They were in great position in the division but after losing 18 of their 28 games, they are 3.5 games behind the Braves in the National League East. This continues a stretch of 12 of 15 games against the Mets and Marlins so Philadelphia has to take advantage and especially tonight with their ace on the hill. The Mets closed their roadtrip with a 4-1 record but they have been a much worse team at home as they are 11 games under .500 and possess the second worst home record in the National League. Aaron Nola has been dominant at home with the Phillies going 12-2 in his 14 starts but his numbers are just as good on the road and they are 11-1 in his last 12 starts against teams with a losing record. Steven Matz has put together a pair of quality outings but this is not a good spot as the Mets are 2-9 in his last 11 home starts against teams with a winning record. Philadelphia falls into a great situation where we play on National League road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 that are hitting .255 or worse with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.25 or better on the season going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is between 3.70 and 4.20. This situation is 81-33 (71.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (957) Philadelphia Phillies

This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. We lost with Arizona last night in a tough way as it rallied from a 4-0 deficit and eventually tied the game in the ninth inning before losing in extra innings. The Diamondbacks are now 2.5 games behind the Rockies in the National League West with time running out but this is a good spot as they are 9-1 in their last 10 games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. Atlanta has a 3.5-game lead once again in the National League East over the Phillies but despite the win last night, the Braves are 11-22 in their last 33 games against teams with a winning record including 1-5 over their last six games. Patrick Corbin looks to cool down the Braves offense and while he has been great all season, he has posted a 2.35 ERA over his last six starts. The Diamondbacks are 5-0 in his last five starts after allowing five runs or more in their previous game while Atlanta has dropped five straight games against left-handed starters. Kevin Gausman has been a huge pickup for the Braves as he has yet to allow more than three runs his six starts since coming over from Baltimore. He has a 1.50 ERA on the road but he has yet to face a team fighting for the playoffs and this will be his first ever start at one of the best hitters parks in baseball. 9* (964) Arizona Diamondbacks

This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. This is the ultimate contrarian play as we back a team 26 games under .500 going up against a team that is currently sitting in a Wild Card spot in the National League. The Cardinals took two of three against the Nationals with the offense going off for 18 runs over the last two games helping snap a three-game losing streak. Surprisingly, this has not been an ideal spot for St. Louis as it is 5-11 this season when playing against poor teams with a winning percentage between .380 and .460. Detroit has also won two in a row, scoring an identical 18 runs in the process which concluded a 4-5 roadtrip. The Tigers are 23-49 on the road which is third worst in the American League but they are a respectable .500 at home where they are the sixth most profitable team in baseball with the help of going 10-5 as a home underdog between +125 and +175. The other contrarian aspect of this is going against Cardinals pitcher Austin Gomber who has yet to lose in a Cardinals uniform. They are 7-0 in his seven starts and while his 2.77 ERA looks good, his 1.32 WHIP is average and that balloons to 1.43 on the road. Detroit is second in the American League against left-handed pitching, hitting .263 and trailing only Houston. Daniel Norris is back for his second start since coming off the disabled list and his first one was a solid one against the Yankees. 9* (980) Detroit Tigers