Fargo's MLB Friday Triple Play (131-90 MLB Run)
2018-09-14 19:05:00

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. With 17 games remaining in the season, this weekend series could determine the playoff fate of the Phillies. Just 2.5 games behind Atlanta one week ago, Philadelphia is now 7.5 games behind the Braves in the National League East following its fifth straight loss coupled with five straight wins for Atlanta. This is a sweepable series and it likely has to take place to go along with some help. The Phillies are 20-5 in their last 25 home games against teams outscored by one or more rpg on the season and 14-2 in their last 16 games revenging a one run loss this season. The Marlins took two of three against Philadelphia last week but has dropped five of six games on this current roadtrip to fall to a National League worst 23-48 on the road. They have lost 12 of their last 15 series openers and hand the ball to Wei-Yin Chen who has some of the most drastic home/road splits in baseball. He is an All Star at home with a 1.77 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 12 starts but when he leaves Marlins Park, he has a 9.13 ERA and 1.82 WHIP over 11 starts, with only one of those being a quality outing. That came against the Orioles, the worst team in baseball. Zach Eflin has not exactly been lighting things up but he has been pretty solid at home with a 3.81 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. In two starts against Miami this season, he has a 2.57 ERA and 0.50 WHIP. Here, we play on National League favorites with a moneyline of -150 or more with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season and 7.50 over his last three starts. This situation is 54-11 (83.1 percent) since 1997. 8* (904) Philadelphia Phillies

This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Milwaukee took two of three games against the Cubs to start the week to pull to within a game of Chicago in the National League Central but that was expanded to a game and a half with the Cubs win yesterday. The Brewers are back home where they have won three straight, five of six and their 45-27 home record is second best in the National League. Additionally, Milwaukee is 18-5 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. The Brewers do not play the Cubs again this season which is good and bad as far as gaining ground but the good news is that 12 of their last 15 games are against teams with a losing record. The Pirates are 18-39 in their last 57 road games against teams with a winning record. The new environment has already paid off for Gio Gonzalez who was dealt from Washington last week and in his first start with the Brewers, we allowed no earned runs and three hits in 5.2 innings against the Giants. His August in Washington was his worst month ever as he posted a 7.47 ERA and 1.82 WHIP in six starts and a change of scenery was needed. He is far from elite but that helps to keep the number within reason in a spot where every game counts and where the home/road record split sits at 12.5 games. Chris Archer has not been as fortunate in his new surroundings. He has a 5.24 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in seven starts and opposing batters are hitting a healthy .270 against him. He was extremely solid from 2013-2015 and while he is still considered an ace, his numbers do not show that as since 2016, he has a 4.18 ERA over 91 starts and that is hardly ace-like. 9* (908) Milwaukee Brewers

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Colorado is coming off a very important series win over Arizona as it took three of four to maintain its lead in the National League West at two games over the Dodgers. Despite being 16 games over .500, the Rockies are just +5 in run differential as they have been fortunate to win a lot of one-run games along the way. They have been a solid road team all season and going back to mid-August, this is their seventh straight game as road favorites, having gone just 3-3 in those previous six. San Francisco has been in a major funk as it has lost 11 straight games. The pitching has been okay during this stretch but the offense has been downright offensive as the Giants have scored three runs or less in 10 of those games including eight in a row. The last time they scored more than three runs came against the Rockies and Tyler Anderson who has struggling in a major way. He was cruising along with a 3.57 ERA through his first 21 starts but over his last eight starts, he has posted a 9.42 ERA with only one quality start over that stretch. Colorado has lost eight of his last nine starts and in three starts at AT&T Park, he has a 7.04 ERA. Chris Stratton has been up and down but has put together a solid stretch where he has a 2.84 ERA over his last four starts. The Giants are 8-0 in his last eight home starts against winning teams. Here, we play on National League home underdogs that are hitting .250 or worse over their last 20 games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.50 or worse over his last 10 starts. This situation is 33-18 (64.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (912) San Francisco Giants