Fargo's CFB Early Saturday Ultimate Trifecta (AWESOME +$13,136 RUN)
2018-09-22 12:00:00

This is a play on the IOWA ST. CYCLONES as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Some beat writer in Ames said he could not believe that 0-2 Iowa St. is close to a three-touchdown favorite over Akron and called in incomprehensible. That is what most of the public is probably thinking after the Zips upset Northwestern last weekend as 21.5-point underdogs. But scores sometimes do not tell the true story and that is the case there as Akron trailed 21-3 at halftime but were able to generate three defensive touchdowns in the second half so it was a very misleading final. It was the first win over a current Big Ten opponent for Akron since 1894. Not a typo. Iowa St. played well last week against Oklahoma with backup quarterback Zeb Noland surprisingly shredding the Sooners defense with 360 yards passing and two touchdowns. The Cyclones managed only three points in its opener against Iowa but that is when starting quarterback Kyle Kempt got hurt and Noland was forced into the game with no preparation. In last year's game against Akron, when Iowa St. ran out to a 14-0 lead in the first quarter and outgained Akron, 170-34 in total yards, the lessons that followed are things that are still engrained in the Cyclones memory this year. This is going to be a very emotional game for the Cyclones and they will be honoring and playing for slain golfer Celia Barquin Arozamena and you can bet they will be giving 110 percent. Akron is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games following a win as a double-digit underdog while Iowa St. is 6-0 ATS in its last six games following a loss. 9* (312) Iowa St. Cyclones

This is a play on the VIRGINIA CAVALIERS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Louisville is coming of a nail-biter last week as it defeated Western Kentucky by just three points and escaped overtime when the Hilltoppers missed a game-tying field goal at the end of regulation. It was a very fortunate victory as the Cardinals were outgained by 136 total yards as this offense clearly misses Lamar Jackson. This is a team on the rebuild as the Cardinals have the least experienced team in the ACC and while the offense misses Jackson, the defense has just four starters back from last season. This is the first true road game of the season for Louisville. Virginia rolled over Ohio last week in Nashville as quarterback Bryce Perkins threw for a career-high 379 yards on 25-30 passing last week and that is the key to beating Louisville. Additionally, senior running back Jordan Ellis and senior receiver Olamide Zaccheaus both posted career-highs in yards. On the other side, the defensive line has improved throughout each game and they should get a boost as Ohio St. graduate transfer Dylan Thompson is expected to make his debut. If Virginia's defense comes out strong and puts good pressure on the Cardinals, the Cavaliers should be able to force Louisville to continue to struggle offensively, thus keeping the Cardinals off the scoreboard. Freshman Malik Cunningham will get the start at quarterback after taking over last week and while he can run, he struggled with just 88 yards passing and the Cavaliers will be ready. Virginia is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games after playing two straight non-conference games while Louisville is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games against teams outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg on the season. 9* (348) Virginia Cavaliers

This is a play on the TOLEDO ROCKETS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Toledo hosted Miami last week as it hung around for a while, trailing by just seven points with a minute left to go in the third quarter but the Hurricanes closed on a 21-3 to end the game. It was a game the Rockets were not supposed to win but it more of a test for a team that lost 10 starters including quarterback Logan Whiteside and leading rusher Terry Swanson. Despite the 25-point loss, you can call it a passing grade. Quarterback Mitch Guadagni, who made his first career start against VMI and was outstanding, looked sharp against the Hurricanes and while the running game got stuffed, the defense this week will be a lot less resistant. Toledo has bounced back well in the past and we can expect it again here as it is 15-5 ATS in its last 15 home games after a loss by 17 or more points. Nevada rolled over Portland St. in its season opener but the Vikings were overmatched over an FBS opponent so while the Wolf Pack felt good about that victory, reality set in quickly. They travelled to Vanderbilt and got crushed by 31 points while getting outgained by 218 total yards. Nevada bounced back with a win over Oregon St. last week but it was a game it had no business winning as they were outgained by 183 total yards while allowing the Beavers to rack up 459 passing yards and they won thanks to a last second missed 33-yard field goal. The whole winning thing, especially a rare win over a Power 5 team, is the good part but it comes with a potential problem of a huge letdown plus they have only one road win in their last 15 tries. 9* (346) Toledo Rockets